Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/29/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Monday, March 29, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: SN

Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (+138) Maple Leafs (-153)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (22-10-2) play the Edmonton Oilers (21-13-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Oilers coming in at +138 and the Maple Leafs are at -153. The over/under has been set at 6.5.

The Oilers were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 4-3 loss against the Maple Leafs their last time on the ice. Their offensive zone starts sat at 71.0% and their PDO rating was 99.1 in this game. They accounted for 14 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 24 attempts to win the face-off. Their Fenwick was 24 and the Fenwick Against sat at 34, giving them a Fenwick rate of 41.4%. The Corsi for the Oilers came in at 36 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 48 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 42.9%. Edmonton recorded 2 penalty minutes in this matchup. In addition, they had 1 power play attempt but weren't able to net one. The Oilers had a middle of the road offensive outing in the loss. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 20 shots they looked to score on.

Edmonton Oilers opponents have tallied 102 power play tries (17th in the league) and have notched 24 goals in those chances. The Oilers have had 1,085 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .907. Edmonton has taken 1,084 shots and has a shooting percentage of 11.0%. When playing at even strength, the Oilers have conceded 77 goals while earning 89 on offense. Edmonton steps onto the ice with 112 power play opportunities and they have notched 30 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 26.79%. For the current campaign, they have accumulated 43 points and their points % is .614. With respect to scoring goals, the Edmonton Oilers have notched 119 goals (2nd in hockey) on the season and have allowed 101.

The player between the pipes for this game is Mike Smith. Throughout his time in hockey, Smith has 312 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .532. His save percentage is .912 in his 35,793 mins between the pipes. Smith has seen 18,271 shot attempts against him and has recorded 16,657 saves. Opponents have racked up 1,614 goals versus Smith in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.71. He has a record of 273-251-75 and he started in 586 games. Smith has played in 627 contests throughout his pro hockey career.

In their win over Edmonton, Toronto went home with a 57.1% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Toronto played and they looked good in this game. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 58.6% with a Fenwick of 34 and the Oilers finishing with a 24 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 101 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 29.0%. The Maple Leafs scored 4 goals out of the 31 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 power play chances in this outing but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal.

The Maple Leafs have accumulated 88 goals at even strength and 26 goals (9th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Toronto has taken 1,051 shots (8th in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 10.85%, while allowing their opponents 959 shots. This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 114 goals, 46 points, as well as a points percentage of .676. They have a total of 99 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 26.26%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.08% on their oppositions 96 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 90.8%. They have allowed 88 goals to be scored by of a combination of 66 goals at even strength and 22 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you will find Jack Campbell defending the net. His opponents are averaging 2.48 goals per contest and he has allowed 160 goals altogether. Campbell's quality start rate sits at 54.8% and he has 34 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He was named a starter in 62 games and has racked up 3,872 minutes. Campbell has accumulated a lifetime mark of 29-27-6 and has been in net for 70 games. He has recorded 1,807 stops out of the 1,967 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .919.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Edmonton (+138)

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