Edmonton Oilers vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/7/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Wednesday, April 7, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (-180) Senators (+162)

Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (23-14-2) are headed to Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday where they'll take on the Ottawa Senators (13-22-4). The Senators open this contest at +162 while the Oilers are coming in at -180. The total opens at 6.

The Oilers will look for better times on the ice after their 3-2 defeat to the Canadiens the last time they stepped on the ice. The Corsi for the Oilers was 34 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 54 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 38.6%. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 37.3% and their PDO rating was 95.9 for this one. Edmonton accounted for 8 penalty minutes in this game. The Oilers had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in the defeat. Their Fenwick came in at 26 and the Fenwick against was 40, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 39.4%. They compiled 15 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 29 opportunities to control the puck. Furthermore, they had 4 power play attempts and were able to net 1 goal. In the game, they converted 2 out of the 23 shots they launched.

Edmonton Oilers opponents have 111 power play tries (20th in pro hockey) and have a total of 24 goals in those chances. The Oilers have had 1,206 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .907. Edmonton has taken 1,172 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.8%. While playing at even strength, the Oilers have allowed 88 goals while getting 94 themselves. Edmonton steps onto the ice with 125 power play chances and they have tallied 33 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 26.40%. For the season, they have accumulated 48 points and their points % is .615. When discussing their goal scoring prowess, the Edmonton Oilers have racked up 127 goals (6th in the league) this season and have conceded 112.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Mike Smith. The opposition has racked up 1,621 goals versus Smith in his professional hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.70. Smith has been in goal for 630 contests throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .912 for his 35,977 minutes on the ice. He has earned a win-loss record of 275-251-76 and he has started in 589 games. Over the course of his career, Smith has recorded 314 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .533. Smith has had 18,360 shot attempts against him and he has 16,739 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, Ottawa faced the Jets in an outing where the Senators ended up losing by a score of 4-3. Their PDO was 105 and they had an oZS percentage of 38.5%. They had 4 power play chances in this outing and netted 1 out of those attempts. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 33.8% by accumulating a Fenwick of 24 and the Jets earning a 47 Fenwick at even strength. The Senators netted 3 goals of the 23 shots on goal they pursued. Ottawa earned a 34.8% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Ottawa had and it shows us they played like an average team.

Ottawa has attempted 1,214 shots (3rd in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 8.40%, while allowing their opponents 1,281 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 76.86% on the other teams 121 chances on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 88.7%. They have recorded 125 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 15.20%. The Senators have accumulated 83 goals at even strength and 19 goals (25th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 145 goals to be scored by of a combination of 117 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they were shorthanded. For the season, the Ottawa Senators have tallied 102 goals, 30 points, in addition to a points percentage of .385.

For the opposition you are likely to see Filip Gustavsson protecting the net. The opposition is averaging 1.81 goals/game and he has surrendered 6 goals altogether. Gustavsson's quality start rate is 66.7% and he has accumulated 2 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has started in 3 contests and has played 199 minutes. Gustavsson has a lifetime record of 2-1-1 and has participated in 4 games. He has gathered 105 saves out of the 111 shots taken, which gives him a save % of .946.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Edmonton (-180)

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