Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 5/12/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Wednesday, May 12, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (-106) Canadiens (-104)

Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (32-18-2) are headed to Bell Centre on Wednesday where they'll meet the Montreal Canadiens (24-20-9). The Canadiens open this matchup at -104 while the Oilers are priced at -106. The total has been set at 6.

The Oilers were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 win over the Canadiens in the last game they played. The Corsi for the Oilers came in at 50 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 53 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 48.5%. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 61.3% and they had a PDO at even strength of 101.0 in this one. Edmonton had 2 penalty mins for this matchup. The Oilers had a solid offensive performance in this win. Their Fenwick was 38 and the Fenwick against finished at 38, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They accounted for 29 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 19 attempts to take control of the puck. In addition, they had 1 power play attempt but weren't able to score. In the game, they tallied a score on 4 out of the 35 shots they put on goal.

Edmonton Oilers opponents have amassed 144 power play opportunities (24th in the league) and have come away with 27 goals in those chances. The Oilers have had 1,647 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .911. Edmonton has tried 1,620 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.0%. When at even strength, the Oilers have allowed the opponent to score 120 goals while getting 133 of their own. Edmonton steps onto the ice with 163 power play chances and they have added 45 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 27.61%. For the season, they have racked up 66 points and their points percentage is .635. In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Edmonton Oilers have notched 178 goals (8th in pro hockey) over the course of the season and have surrendered 147.

The man in net for this game is Mike Smith. Smith has played in 641 contests throughout his pro hockey career. He has amassed an overall record of 282-254-76 and he started in 599 games. The opposition has notched 1,643 goals versus Smith in his professional hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.69. Smith has had 18,686 shot attempts against him and he has 17,043 saves. His save percentage is at .912 for his 36,619 mins on the ice. During his career on the ice, Smith has 320 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .534.

In their loss to Edmonton, the Canadiens PDO at even strength was 99 and their oZS percentage was 38.7%. They had 2 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to score a goal. Their Fenwick percentage was 50.0% by way of having a Fenwick of 38 and the Oilers ending the game with a 38 Fenwick at even strength. The Canadiens had 3 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they pursued. Montreal earned a 51.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Montreal had and you could say that they didn't play great, but weren't awful either.

So far this year, the Montreal Canadiens have earned 155 goals, 57 points, as well as a points percentage of .538. They have permitted 161 goals to be scored by way of 126 goals at even strength and 35 goals while they were shorthanded. The Canadiens have tallied 126 goals at even strength and 29 goals (21st in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have a total of 145 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 20.00%. Montreal has attempted 1,717 shots (6th in the NHL) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.03%, while allowing the other team 1,557 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 78.92% on the other teams 166 tries on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 89.7%.

Across the ice you will find Jake Allen protecting the net. He has a tally of 7,750 stops out of 8,498 shots taken against him, which gives him a rate of .912. Allen is sitting with a lifetime record of 159-106-31 and has played in 318 games. He has been a starter 298 games and has played 17,809 mins. Allen's rate of quality starts is 53.7% and he has 160 quality starts in his professional career. Opponents are averaging 2.52 goals/game and he has allowed 748 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Edmonton (-106)

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