Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 3/30/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Edmonton Oilers vs Montreal Canadiens
Date: Tuesday, March 30, 2021
Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC
TV: TSN2
Odds/Point Spread: Oilers (+115) Canadiens (-135)
Carey Price and the Montreal Canadiens (14-8-9) host the Edmonton Oilers (21-13-1) at Bell Centre on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Oilers priced at +115 and the Canadiens are at -135. The total opens at 5.5.
The Oilers will need a bounce back game after taking a 4-3 loss to the Maple Leafs in their last contest. The Corsi for the Oilers came in at 36 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 48 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 42.9%. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 71.0% and they had a PDO of 99.1 in this game. Edmonton compiled 2 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Oilers offense didn't overly impress in this defeat. Their Fenwick was 24 and the Fenwick Against sat at 34, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 41.4%. They compiled 14 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 24 attempts to take control of the puck. Moreover, they had 1 power play opportunity but didn't convert it into a score. For the game, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 20 shots they tried.
Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Edmonton Oilers have accumulated 119 goals (2nd in hockey) this year and have given up 101. For the year, they sit with 43 points and their points % is .614. Edmonton is sitting with 112 power play opportunities and they have scored 30 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 26.79%. When playing at even strength, the Oilers have surrendered 77 goals while earning 89 themselves. Edmonton has attempted 1,084 shots and has a shot percentage of 11.0%. The Oilers have had 1,085 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Edmonton Oilers opponents have amassed 102 power play tries (19th in professional hockey) and have tallied 24 goals in those chances.
The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Mikko Koskinen. Opponents have been able to score 313 goals versus Koskinen in his pro career and his goals against average per contest is 2.94. Koskinen has been in goal for 116 contests during his pro hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .908 for his 6,380 minutes played. He has amassed an overall mark of 54-45-9 and was named the starter in 106 games. In his professional hockey career, Koskinen has 53 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .500. Koskinen has seen 3,412 shots against him and has recorded 3,099 total saves.
When they were on the ice last, Montreal squared up with the Canucks in an outing where the Canadiens ended up with the win by a mark of 5-4. They had 1 attempt on the power play in this contest and recorded 1 on that chance. The Canadiens scored 5 goals out of the 40 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 88 and their oZS percentage was 71.9%. Montreal had a 68.2% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Montreal played and it tells us that they played really well in this game. Their Fenwick rate was 72.0% with a Fenwick of 54 and the Canucks earning a 21 Fenwick at even strength.
Montreal has attempted 1,028 shots (15th in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.63%, while allowing the other team 894 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 76.42% on their oppositions 106 tries on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 90.6%. They have recorded 84 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 23.81%. The Canadiens have accumulated 79 goals at even strength and 20 goals (20th in hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 84 goals to be scored by way of 59 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the year, the Montreal Canadiens have 99 goals, 37 points, and a points percentage of .597.
For the opposition you are likely to see Carey Price defending the goal. His opposition is averaging 2.50 goals per contest and he has surrendered 1,727 goals in total. Price's rate of quality starts comes in at 57.4% and he has earned 396 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He was named a starter in 690 contests and has accumulated 41,444 minutes. Price holds a lifetime record of 358-255-79 and has played in 702 games. He is sitting with 19,092 saves out of the 20,819 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .917.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (+115)
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Additional Resources:
Montreal Canadiens - Twitter
Edmonton Oilers - Twitter