Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+265) Lightning (-400)

Curtis McElhinney and the Tampa Bay Lightning (25-9-2) host the Detroit Red Wings (12-21-5) at Amalie Arena on Sunday. The Red Wings open this game at +265 while the Lightning are coming in at -400. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Red Wings will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 3-2 loss against the Panthers their last time out. Their offensive zone starts were at 57.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.0 in this one. They accumulated 29 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 25 opportunities to win the puck. Their Fenwick was 31 and the Fenwick against finished at 35, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 47.0%. The Corsi for the Red Wings sat at 45 and the Corsi against was at 42 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 51.7%. Detroit tallied 16 penalty mins in this contest. In addition, they had 2 attempts on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Red Wings had a below average offensive performance in this loss. For the matchup, they tallied a score on 2 out of the 27 shots they put on net.

The Red Wings have had 1,184 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .897. While at even strength, the Red Wings have conceded 93 goals while having 69 when they are on offense. Detroit Red Wings opponents have totaled 109 power play opportunities (20th in professional hockey) and have notched 29 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they sit with 29 points and their points % is .382. Detroit has taken 1,059 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 7.7%. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Detroit Red Wings have notched 82 goals (30th in the league) on the year and have allowed 122. Detroit comes into tonight with 110 power play opportunities and they have notched 13 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 11.82%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Calvin Pickard. The opposition has notched 295 goals versus Pickard in his pro career and his goals against average is 2.99. Pickard has been in goal for 112 matchups throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage currently is .904 in his 5,914 mins between the pipes. He has compiled a win-loss mark of 34-53-9 and got the start in 91 games. For his professional hockey career, Pickard has accrued 44 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .484. Pickard has seen 3,088 shots taken against him and he has 2,793 saves.

In their last outing, Tampa Bay opposed the Blue Jackets in a matchup where the Lightning took home the victory by a tally of 3-2. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and scored 1 out of those attempts. The Lightning recorded 3 goals of the 34 shots on goal they were seeking. Their PDO at even strength was 101 and their percentage of oZS was 48.4%. Tampa Bay earned a 45.9% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and you might say they have had worse games. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 45.5% by amassing a Fenwick of 35 and the Blue Jackets finishing with a 42 Fenwick.

Tampa Bay has put up 1,096 shots (13th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.50%, while allowing their opponents 1,019 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 81.97% on the other teams 122 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 91.6%. They have recorded 116 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 27.59%. The Lightning have scored 94 goals at even strength and 32 goals (1st in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 86 goals to be scored by of a combination of 64 goals at even strength and 22 goals while they were shorthanded. On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accounted for 126 goals, 52 points, in addition to a points percentage of .722.

For the opposition you are likely to see Curtis McElhinney in net. He has gathered 5,944 stops out of 6,546 shots attempted, giving him a save percentage of .908. McElhinney has earned a lifetime record of 93-93-19 and has been in net for 245 games. He has been a starter 193 games and has played 12,774 mins. McElhinney's percentage of quality starts is 46.6% and he has 90 quality starts in his pro career. His opponents are averaging 2.83 goals per game and he has surrendered 602 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Detroit (+265)

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