Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 11/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars

Date: Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+143) Stars (-175)

Thomas Greiss and the Detroit Red Wings travel to American Airlines Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Dallas Stars. The Red Wings open this matchup at +143 while the Stars are priced at -175. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Red Wings had a good night with a 3-2 victory over the Canadiens in their last outing. The Corsi for the Red Wings was 51 and the Corsi against was 45 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 53.1%. Their starts in the offensive zone sat at 30.0% and they had a PDO at even strength of 103.6 in this game. Detroit accumulated 6 penalty minutes in this game. The Red Wings had an average offensive outing in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 43 and the Fenwick against was 33, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 56.6%. They had 24 face-off victories when at even strength and lost on 27 attempts to control the puck. Furthermore, they had 2 chances on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. While out there on the ice, they netted 3 of the 33 shots they attempted.

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Detroit Red Wings opponents have 54 power play opportunities (3rd in the NHL) and have scored 13 goals in those attempts. The Red Wings have had 548 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .909. Detroit has tried 468 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.8%. At even strength, the Red Wings have conceded 37 goals while getting 38 of their own. Detroit has 52 power play chances and they have scored 8 goals out of those advantages, earning them a percentage of 15.38%. For the season, they have earned 18 points and their points percentage sits at .563. In relation to their goal scoring prowess, the Detroit Red Wings have notched 46 goals (8th in the National Hockey League) this season and have given up 50.

The man protecting the net in this game is Thomas Greiss. In his career, Greiss has compiled 160 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .561. His save percentage is at .914 during his 17,417 minutes in the crease. Greiss has had 8,945 shots taken against him and has recorded 8,177 saves. The opposition has racked up 768 goals versus Greiss in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.65. He has accumulated a mark of 149-109-36 and got the start in 285 games. Greiss has played in 324 games throughout his hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Dallas faced off against the Flyers in a game where the Stars notched a win by a final of 5-2. They had a PDO of 116 and they earned an oZS percentage of 35.0%. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this game and notched 1 goal out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick percentage was 51.9% by way of having a Fenwick of 41 and the Flyers finishing with a 38 Fenwick at even strength. The Stars scored 5 goals out of the 31 shots on goal they were seeking. Dallas wrapped up this game with a 52.8% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Dallas played and they looked like the better team in this game.

Dallas has tried 386 shots (28th in the NHL) and has earned a shot percentage of 8.03%, while allowing the opposition 403 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 75.00% on their opponents 44 power play tries, and their save percentage is 90.1%. They have a tally of 34 chances on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 29.41%. The Stars have racked up 21 goals at even strength and 10 goals (13th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 40 goals to be scored by of a combination of 29 goals at even strength and 11 goals while they had less men on the ice. Over the course of the season, the Dallas Stars have accounted for 31 goals, 12 points, as well as a points percentage of .462.

Across the rink you will find Braden Holtby patrolling the crease. Holtby has accumulated a career record of 291-137-50 and has played in 497 contests. Holtby's quality start rate is 57.1% and he has qualified for 278 quality starting assignments in his career. He has recorded 13,195 stops out of 14,425 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .915. His opposition is averaging 2.58 goals/game and he has allowed 1,230 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 487 games and has been on the ice for 28,561 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (-175)

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