Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 1/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars

Date: Thursday, January 28, 2021

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+165) Stars (-190)

Thomas Greiss and the Detroit Red Wings (2-4-1) travel to American Airlines Center on Thursday where they'll take on the Dallas Stars (3-0-0). The Red Wings open this game at +165 while the Stars are coming in at -190. The over/under has been set at 5.5.

The Red Wings will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 2 - 1 loss to the Stars their last time out. The Red Wings had a below average offensive outing in the loss. In the matchup, they finished 1 out of the 21 shots they attempted. In addition, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. Detroit racked up 8 penalty minutes in this outing. The Corsi for the Red Wings was 35 and the Corsi against was 34 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 50.7%. Their Fenwick sat at 24 while the Fenwick against sat at 23, which earned them a Fenwick percentage of 51.1%. They took 20 face-off wins and were beaten on 18 of all total face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 47.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.0 in this one. Regarding their opponent, the Dallas Stars tallied 22 shots. They had a total of 6 minutes in the box and they earned a total of 4 power play chances.

The Red Wings have had 212 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .896. When playing at even strength, the Red Wings let the opposition score 15 goals while notching 10 on offense. Detroit Red Wings opponents have earned 22 power play tries (21st in professional hockey) and have notched 6 goals in those chances. For the season, they have scored 5 points and their points percentage comes in at .357. Detroit has attempted 178 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 7.3%. In relation to scoring goals, the Detroit Red Wings have accounted for 13 goals (27th in pro hockey) for the season and have conceded 22. Detroit comes into the game with 20 power play chances and they have added 3 goals out of those tries, earning them a percentage of 15.00%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Thomas Greiss. Greiss has participated in 286 games throughout his hockey career. He has earned an overall record of 137-93-29 and he started in 252 games. Opponents have notched 676 goals versus Greiss in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.62. Greiss has seen 7,918 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 7,242 total saves. His save percentage is at .915 for his 15,452 minutes in the crease. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Greiss has earned 140 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .556.

In their win over Detroit, Dallas wound up with a 49.3% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 34 and they surrendered a Corsi of 35. Their Fenwick rate was 48.9% by notching a Fenwick of 23 and the Red Wings ending the game with a 24 Fenwick. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Dallas had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. They had a PDO of 100.0 and their percentage of oZS was 52.6%. The Stars notched 2 goals of the 22 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play opportunities in this one and were able to convert 1 out of those opportunities. In discussing their opponent, the Red Wings had 3 power play opportunities but didn't tally a goal. Dallas allowed 21 shots on goal and the Red Wings racked up 8 minutes in the box.

Dallas has taken 72 shots (31st in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 16.67%, while allowing the other team 72 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 91.67% on their opponents 12 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 16.7%. They have earned 16 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 56.25%. The Stars are sitting with 2 goals at even strength and 9 goals (4th in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 3 goals to be scored by way of 2 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Dallas Stars have earned 12 goals, 6 points, in addition to a points percentage of 1.000.

For the opposition you are likely to see Anton Khudobin in goal. Khudobin is the owner of a career mark of 102-76-25 and has been in goal for 221 games. Khudobin's percentage of quality starts is 58.7% and he has 118 quality starts in his NHL career. He has racked up 5,663 stops out of 6,159 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .919. Opponents are averaging 2.43 goals per game and he has relinquished 496 goals overall. He has made the start in 201 games and has played for a total of 12,225 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Detroit (+165)

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