Detroit Red Wings vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, 3/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Carolina Hurricanes
Date: Thursday, March 4, 2021
Location: PNC Arena in Raleigh, NC
TV: Fox Sports Detroit
Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+210) Hurricanes (-263)
Jonathan Bernier and the Detroit Red Wings (7-15-3) head to PNC Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Carolina Hurricanes (15-6-1). The odds on this matchup have the Red Wings coming in at +210 and the Hurricanes are at -263. The over/under has been set at 6.5.
The Red Wings had a rough game after their 4-1 loss to the Blue Jackets in their previous contest. Their starts in the offensive zone sat at 35.3% and they had a PDO of 92.3 for this matchup. They accrued 23 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 18 attempts to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick was 19 and the Fenwick against was 34, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 35.8%. The Corsi for the Red Wings was 28 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 45 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 38.4%. Detroit accumulated 6 penalty mins in this contest. They also had 3 power play opportunities and were able to notch 1 goal. The Red Wings had a below average offensive performance in this loss. For the matchup, they finished 1 of the 20 shots they put on net.
When talking about their scoring capabilities, the Detroit Red Wings have accounted for 52 goals (26th in hockey) on the season and have given up 82. For the current season, they have racked up 17 points and their points percentage comes in at .340. Detroit has compiled 71 power play opportunities and they have notched 7 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 9.86%. While playing at even strength, the Red Wings let the opposition score 61 goals while getting 45 themselves. Detroit has taken 704 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 7.4%. The Red Wings have had 765 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .893. Detroit Red Wings opponents have 71 power play tries (11th in the NHL) and have come away with 21 goals in those chances.
The player between the pipes for this game is Jonathan Bernier. Over the course of his pro career, Bernier has compiled 181 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .528. His save percentage sits at .912 in his 20,942 minutes guarding the cage. Bernier has had 10,999 shots against him and has accrued 10,036 saves. Opponents have scored 963 goals versus Bernier in his pro career and his goals against average is 2.76. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 158-152-38 and he was named the starter in 343 games. Bernier has been in net for 382 matchups during his NHL career.
In their last contest, Carolina played the Predators in an outing where the Hurricanes notched a victory by a final score of 4-2. Carolina had a 47.5% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Carolina had and they showed out in this one. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 44.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 38 and the Predators having notched a 47 Fenwick. They had a PDO of 106 and their percentage of oZS was 51.2%. The Hurricanes converted 4 goals of the 28 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 opportunities on the power play in this outing and recorded 2 out of those tries.
Over the course of the season, the Carolina Hurricanes have notched a total of 72 goals, 31 points, as well as a points percentage of .705. They have allowed 60 goals to be scored by way of 45 goals at even strength and 15 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Hurricanes have tallied 51 goals at even strength and 21 goals (4th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 71 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 29.58%. Carolina has taken 697 shots (10th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.33%, while allowing their opponents 645 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 80.26% on their opponents 76 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.7%.
On the other side of the ice you are expected to see James Reimer defending the net. Reimer has earned a career mark of 168-129-41 and has participated in 376 contests. Reimer's percentage of quality starts is 50.6% and he has made 173 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has gathered 10,000 stops out of the 10,951 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .913. Teams are averaging 2.80 goals/game and he has relinquished 951 goals altogether. He has been a starter 342 games and has accumulated 20,363 minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Detroit (+210)
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Additional Resources:
Carolina Hurricanes - Twitter
Detroit Red Wings - Twitter