Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 5/7/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Friday, May 7, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+140) Lightning (-160)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-14-3) play the Dallas Stars (21-18-14) at Amalie Arena on Friday. The line on this game has the Stars priced at +140 and the Lightning are at -160. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Stars will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 6-2 defeat to the Lightning in their last contest. The Stars left a lot to be desired in terms of their offense in this defeat. For the outing, they tallied a score on 2 of the 22 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 2 power play tries but didn't get a goal. Dallas compiled 4 minutes in the box in this outing. The Corsi for the Stars was sitting at 33 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 40 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 45.2%. Their Fenwick was 26 and the Fenwick against finished at 29, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 47.3%. They compiled 22 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 22 attempts to gain puck control. Their offensive zone starts came in at 51.7% and they had a PDO of 80.1 for this one.

Dallas Stars opponents have tallied 143 power play opportunities (23rd in the NHL) and have notched 30 goals in those chances. The Stars have had 1,443 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .904. Dallas has tried 1,579 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.1%. When playing at even strength, the Stars have surrendered 108 goals while scoring 108 on the offensive side of the ice. Dallas has compiled 153 power play opportunities and they have tallied 36 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 23.53%. For the current campaign, the have a total of 56 points and their points percentage is sitting at .528. With regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars have earned 144 goals (20th in the NHL) this year and have allowed 138.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Anton Khudobin. Throughout his time in hockey, Khudobin has 132 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .579. His save percentage currently sits at .918 for his 13,721 mins played. Khudobin has had 6,834 shots taken against him and has amassed 6,271 total saves. Opponents have notched 563 goals versus Khudobin in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.46. He has compiled a mark of 110-86-32 and he has started in 228 games. Khudobin has played in 248 matchups throughout his pro hockey career.

In their win over Dallas, Tampa Bay wound up with a 54.8% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick rate was 52.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 29 and the Stars finishing with a 26 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO was 120 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 48.0%. The Lightning had 6 goals out of the 20 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play attempts in this one and netted 1 out of those tries.

So far this year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have tallied 177 goals, 75 points, and a points percentage of .708. They have allowed 131 goals to be scored by way of 103 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Lightning have accumulated 138 goals at even strength and 39 goals (4th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have a tally of 165 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 23.64%. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,606 shots (10th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.02%, while allowing the other team 1,487 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 83.63% on their oppositions 171 power play chances, and their save percentage is 91.2%.

Across the ice you are going to see Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. Vasilevskiy has compiled a career record of 190-81-19 and has been in net for 300 games. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage is 56.6% and he has qualified for 164 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has compiled 8,379 stops out of the 9,106 shots attempted, giving him a percentage of .920. Opponents are averaging 2.49 goals/game and he has conceded 727 goals altogether. He was named a starter in 290 games and his ice time sits at 17,509 minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas (+140)

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