Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 5/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+142) Lightning (-162)

Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars (21-17-14) head to Amalie Arena on Wednesday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (35-14-3). The Stars open this contest at +142 while the Lightning are coming in at -162. The total has been set at 5.5.

The Stars were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 5-4 loss to the Panthers the last time they stepped on the ice. The Corsi for the Stars sat at 44 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 51 which means they had a Corsi rate of 46.3%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 58.6% and their PDO rating was 101.2 in this game. Dallas compiled 9 penalty minutes in this contest. The Stars played really well in this defeat. Their Fenwick was 29 and the Fenwick against finished at 44, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 39.7%. They compiled 24 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 24 opportunities to take control of the puck. In addition, they had 2 power play tries and were able to net 1 goal. In the game, they scored on 4 out of the 29 shots they put on net.

In reference to their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars have accumulated 142 goals (18th in the league) so far this season and have given up 132. For the current campaign, they have tallied 56 points and their points % is .538. Dallas has compiled 151 power play opportunities and they have scored 36 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 23.84%. When at even strength, the Stars have surrendered 103 goals while getting 106 on the offensive side of the ice. Dallas has taken 1,557 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.1%. The Stars have had 1,423 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Dallas Stars opponents have totaled 139 power play tries (23rd in the league) and have tallied 29 goals in those attempts.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Anton Khudobin. The opposition has been able to score 563 goals versus Khudobin in his professional career and his goals against rate is 2.46. Khudobin has been in net for 248 games over the course of his NHL career. He has a save percentage of .918 during his 13,721 minutes played. He has earned a win-loss record of 110-86-32 and he started in 228 games. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Khudobin has compiled 131 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .575. Khudobin has had 6,834 shots taken against him and has recorded 6,271 saves.

The last time they were on the ice, Tampa Bay faced the Red Wings in a matchup where the Lightning notched a victory by a score of 2-1. They had a PDO of 100 and their percentage of oZS was 51.9%. They had 2 chances on the power play in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. Their Fenwick rate came in at 68.9% by amassing a Fenwick of 51 and the Red Wings having racked up a 23 Fenwick. The Lightning scored 2 goals of the 42 shots on goal they were seeking. Tampa Bay had a 66.0% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Tampa Bay had and you might say they will look for a better outcome in their next outing.

Tampa Bay has attempted 1,586 shots (10th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 10.78%, while allowing the opposition 1,465 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 83.43% on their oppositions 169 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 91.2%. They have a total of 161 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play percentage of 23.60%. The Lightning are sitting with 133 goals at even strength and 38 goals (5th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have allowed 129 goals to be scored by way of 101 goals at even strength and 28 goals while they were shorthanded. On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a total of 171 goals, 73 points, in addition to a points percentage of .702.

For the opposition you are expected to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in the crease. His opposition is averaging 2.49 goals per game and he has given up 725 goals in total. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage comes out to 56.4% and he has qualified for 163 quality starts in his NHL career. He was named a starter in 289 contests and his ice time sits at 17,449 mins. Vasilevskiy holds a lifetime mark of 189-81-19 and has been in goal for 299 games. He has recorded 8,359 stops out of the 9,084 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .920.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-162) and under 5.5 goals

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