Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 2/27/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: SUN

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+145) Lightning (-175)

Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars (6-5-4) go to Amalie Arena on Saturday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-4-1). The Lightning open this matchup at -175 while the Stars are coming in at +145. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Stars will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 3-2 loss to the Panthers in their last outing. The Stars didn't have their best offensive outing in the loss. For the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 2 out of the 39 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 2 chances with extra men on the ice and were able to notch 1 goal. Dallas had 4 penalty minutes for this contest. The Corsi for the Stars came in at 45 and the Corsi against was at 53 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 45.9%. Their Fenwick was 35 and the Fenwick Against sat at 46, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 43.2%. They accrued 31 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to win the face-off. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 35.9% and they had a PDO of 94.5 in this one.

With respect to their scoring, the Dallas Stars have earned 46 goals (24th in the National Hockey League) this year and have allowed 38. For the current campaign, they have recorded 16 points and their points percentage is .533. Dallas is sitting with 55 power play opportunities and they have notched 17 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 30.91%. While playing at even strength, the Stars have allowed the opponent to score 27 goals while having 29 themselves. Dallas has taken 424 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.9%. The Stars have had 459 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .917. Dallas Stars opponents have 57 power play opportunities (21st in pro hockey) and have racked up 11 goals in those attempts.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Anton Khudobin. The opposition has notched 513 goals against Khudobin in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.45. Khudobin has been in net for 227 matchups throughout his hockey career. His save percentage sits at .919 during his 12,555 mins on the ice. He has an overall mark of 103-80-26 and he has started in 207 games. For his career, Khudobin is sitting with 121 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .585. Khudobin has had 6,365 shot attempts against him and has recorded 5,852 total saves.

Their last time out, Tampa Bay opposed the Hurricanes in an outing where the Lightning ended up with the victory by a mark of 3-1. They had 5 power play opportunities in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal. The Lightning recorded 3 goals of the 22 shots on goal they attempted. They had a PDO of 111 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 50.4%. Tampa Bay wrapped up this game with a 45.8% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Tampa Bay played and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. Their Fenwick rate came in at 45.6% by way of having a Fenwick of 26 and the Hurricanes finishing with a 31 Fenwick at even strength.

The Lightning have earned 49 goals at even strength and 15 goals (10th in the NHL) while on the power play. Tampa Bay has tried 542 shots (17th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.81%, while allowing their opponents 511 shots. On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched a total of 64 goals, 27 points, as well as a points percentage of .750. They have a tally of 61 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 24.59%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 86.89% on the other teams 61 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 92.4%. They have allowed 39 goals to be scored by of a combination of 31 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they had less men on the ice.

For the opposition you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy defending the net. Vasilevskiy has accrued a career record of 170-76-19 and has participated in 275 games. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts sits at 57.0% and he has accumulated 151 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has a tally of 7,694 stops out of the 8,365 shots taken against him, giving him a save % of .920. His opponents are averaging 2.52 goals/game and he has surrendered 671 goals altogether. He got the starting nod in 265 games and has played for a total of 16,003 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-175)

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