Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 10/19/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Tuesday, October 19, 2021

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+115) Penguins (-135)

Braden Holtby and the Dallas Stars head to PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Pittsburgh Penguins. The line on this matchup has the Stars priced at +115 and the Penguins are at -135. The total is set at 6.5.

The Stars had a rough game after their 3-2 loss against the Senators in their previous game. The Stars offense left a lot to be desired in this loss. In the outing, they finished 2 of the 34 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 2 chances on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Dallas accrued 9 minutes in the box in this outing. The Corsi for the Stars sat at 57 and the Corsi against was at 43 which means they had a Corsi rate of 57.0%. Their Fenwick came in at 41 and the Fenwick against finished at 32, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 56.2%. They accounted for 28 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 21 attempts to control the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they sat at 58.6% and they had a PDO of 101.9 for this game.

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Dallas Stars opponents have amassed 10 power play opportunities (10th in professional hockey) and have tallied 2 goals in those attempts. The Stars have had 100 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .920. Dallas has taken 88 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 6.8%. While at even strength, the Stars have allowed the opponent to score 6 goals while getting 5 as an offensive unit. Dallas steps onto the ice with 10 power play opportunities and they have scored 1 goal out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 10.00%. For the year, they have accumulated 2 points and their points percentage is sitting at .333. With respect to their scoring, the Dallas Stars have tallied 6 goals (18th in the National Hockey League) this season and have allowed 8.

The player in the crease for this game is Braden Holtby. For his professional hockey career, Holtby has recorded 275 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .572. His save percentage currently is at .915 for his 28,194 mins guarding the cage. Holtby has had 14,247 shots taken against him and he has 13,033 total saves. The opposition has scored 1,214 goals against Holtby in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.58. He has earned a mark of 289-134-49 and he started in 481 games. Holtby has been involved in 491 games over the course of his NHL career.

In their last outing, Pittsburgh opposed the Blackhawks in a game where the Penguins got the victory by a score of 5-2. Pittsburgh wound up with a 55.7% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Pittsburgh played and they showed out in this one. Their Fenwick rate was 63.3% by tallying a Fenwick of 31 and the Blackhawks having accrued a 18 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO at even strength was 113 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 69.5%. The Penguins earned 5 goals out of the 26 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to score a goal.

The Penguins have accumulated 13 goals at even strength and 2 goals (11th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. Pittsburgh has put up 108 shots (2nd in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 13.89%, while allowing the other team 87 shots. Over the course of the season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have accumulated 15 goals, 5 points, as well as a points percentage of .833. They have a total of 12 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 16.67%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 90.00% on the other teams 10 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 89.7%. They have allowed 9 goals to be scored by of a combination of 8 goals at even strength and 1 goal while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you are likely to see Tristan Jarry patrolling the crease. Jarry has accumulated a career mark of 61-29-7 and has been in goal for 103 contests. Jarry's quality start percentage comes out to 61.9% and he has 60 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has compiled 2,652 saves out of 2,907 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .912. The opposition is averaging 2.65 goals per game and he has conceded 255 goals altogether. He was named a starter in 97 games and his ice time sits at 5,774 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (+115)

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