Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 10/17/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Sunday, October 17, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-162) Senators (+135)

Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars are headed to Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday where they'll meet the Ottawa Senators. The odds on this contest have the Stars priced at -162 and the Senators are at +135. The total is set at 5.5.

The Stars will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 3-2 victory against the Rangers in their last contest. The Stars had a middle of the road offensive performance in the win. While out there on the ice, they converted 3 of the 26 shots they put on goal. Moreover, they had 2 chances on the power play and were able to score 1 goal. Dallas garnered 6 minutes in the box in this contest. The Corsi for the Stars came in at 41 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 58 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 41.4%. Their Fenwick came in at 30 and the Fenwick Against sat at 40, giving them a Fenwick rate of 42.9%. They compiled 21 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them sat at 28.6% and they had a PDO at even strength of 101.8 in this one.

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The Stars had 1,518 shots taken against them and held a save percentage of .903. When at even strength, the Stars conceded 116 goals while earning 119. Dallas Stars opponents had 153 power play tries (23rd in the NHL) and came away with 32 goals in those attempts. For the previous campaign, they scored 60 points and their points percentage was .536. Dallas tried 1,699 shots and held a shot percentage of 9.2%. With respect to their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars racked up 156 goals (18th in hockey) in the previous season and given up 148. Dallas had 157 power play opportunities and added 37 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 23.57%.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Anton Khudobin. The opposition has notched 569 goals versus Khudobin in his NHL career and his goals against average is 2.46. Khudobin has participated in 251 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .917 during his 13,853 mins on the ice. He has compiled an overall mark of 112-87-32 and he has gotten the start in 230 games. Over the course of his career, Khudobin is sitting with 133 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .578. Khudobin has had 6,892 shots against him and has recorded 6,323 saves.

When they took the ice last, Ottawa faced the Maple Leafs in a game where the Senators got the win by a score of 3-2. Ottawa earned a 51.4% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Ottawa had and it shows us they played like an average team. Their Fenwick rate came in at 50.0% by way of having a Fenwick of 43 and the Maple Leafs finishing with a 43 Fenwick. Their PDO was 107 and their oZS percentage was 42.3%. The Senators tallied 3 goals out of the 36 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this one and notched 1 goal out of those opportunities.

Ottawa has tried 1,663 shots (16th in the NHL) and accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.32%, while allowing the opposition 1,799 shots. They earned a penalty kill percentage of 78.95% on their opponent's 171 power play chances, and their save percentage was 89.5%. They earned 174 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 15.52%. The Senators finished with 128 goals at even strength and 27 goals (25th in hockey) while on the power play. They allowed 189 goals to be scored by way of 153 goals at even strength and 36 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the Ottawa Senators had 155 goals, 51 points, and a points percentage of .455.

For the opposition you are likely to see Matt Murray in goal. He has accounted for 6,031 saves out of the 6,615 shots attempted against him, giving him a save percentage of .912. Murray has a career record of 127-66-20 and has played in 226 games. He got the starting nod in 218 contests and has racked up 12,770 mins. Murray's quality start rate sits at 52.3% and he has accumulated 114 quality starting assignments in his career. His opposition is averaging 2.74 goals per contest and he has allowed 584 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+135)

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