Dallas Stars vs New York Rangers Prediction, 10/14/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs New York Rangers

Date: Thursday, October 14, 2021

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: MSG+

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+109) Rangers (-120)

Igor Shesterkin and the New York Rangers (27-23-6) host the Dallas Stars (23-19-14) at Madison Square Garden on Thursday. The Rangers open this contest at -120 while the Stars are coming in at +109. The O/U opens at 5½.

The Stars were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 5-4 victory against the Blackhawks in their last outing. The offensive zone starts for them were at 68.8% and they had a PDO of 81.0 in this one. They compiled 21 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 12 attempts to win the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 53 and the Fenwick against was 22, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 70.7%. The Corsi for the Stars was 71 and the Corsi against was 29 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 71.0%. Dallas tallied 6 penalty mins for this game. Additionally, they had 3 attempts on the power play and were able to net 1 goal. The Stars had a good offensive performance in the win. For the game, they scored on 5 out of the 50 shots they looked to score on.

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Dallas Stars opposition had 153 power play opportunities (23rd in hockey) and scored 32 goals in those attempts. The Stars had 1,518 shots tried against them and earned a save percentage of .903. Dallas attempted 1,699 shots and had a shooting percentage of 9.2%. When at even strength, the Stars surrendered 116 goals while scoring 119. Dallas compiled 157 power play opportunities and tallied 37 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 23.57%. For last year, they racked up 60 points and their points percentage was .536. In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars notched 156 goals (18th in professional hockey) last season and gave up 148.

The man in net for this game is Braden Holtby. In his career, Holtby has compiled 273 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .570. His save percentage currently is .915 during his 28,088 minutes in the crease. Holtby has had 14,181 shots against him and has accrued 12,971 saves. The opposition has been able to score 1,210 goals versus Holtby in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.58. He has amassed an overall mark of 289-133-49 and he has gotten the start in 479 games. Holtby has participated in 489 contests over the course of his hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, New York faced the Bruins in an outing where the Rangers earned a win by a mark of 5-4. They had 1 attempt on the power play in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal. The Rangers had 5 goals out of the 23 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO at even strength was 119 and they had an oZS percentage of 34.9%. New York had a 29.3% Corsi rate. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that New York had and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 31.6% by tallying a Fenwick of 25 and the Bruins having notched a 54 Fenwick at even strength.

For the season, the New York Rangers had a total of 176 goals, 60 points, as well as a points percentage of .536. They granted a total of 155 goals to be scored by way of 125 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Rangers finished with 139 goals at even strength and 37 goals (10th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They had 179 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 20.67%. New York attempted 1,607 shots (25th in professional hockey) and earned a shooting percentage of 10.95%, while allowing their opponent 1,664 shots. They earned a penalty kill percentage of 82.25% on the other team's 169 tries on the power play, and their save percentage came in at 90.7%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Igor Shesterkin between the pipes. His opposition is averaging 2.59 goals/game and he has allowed 112 goals altogether. Shesterkin's quality start rate comes in at 67.4% and he has 29 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has been a starter 43 games and has been on the ice for 2,591 mins. Shesterkin has a career mark of 26-16-3 and has played in 47 games. He has recorded 1,299 stops out of the 1,411 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .921.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take New York (-120)

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