Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 3/18/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Thursday, March 18, 2021

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Fox Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-188) Red Wings (+155)

Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars (9-9-7) go to Little Caesars Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the Detroit Red Wings (9-17-4). The Stars open this game at -188 while the Red Wings are coming in at +155. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Stars were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 4-3 defeat to the Lightning the last time they stepped on the ice. The Stars were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the defeat. While out there on the ice, they tallied a score on 3 of the 27 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice and were able to score 1 goal. Dallas tallied 6 penalty minutes in this contest. The Corsi for the Stars came in at 41 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 53 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 43.6%. Their Fenwick was 32 and the Fenwick Against sat at 41, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 43.8%. They accumulated 29 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 28 attempts to win the face-off. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 44.8% and their PDO rating was 103.5 for this game.

Dallas Stars opponents have amassed 84 power play opportunities (22nd in pro hockey) and have a total of 19 goals in those chances. The Stars have had 692 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .908. Dallas has attempted 719 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.9%. While playing at even strength, the Stars let the opposition score 45 goals while notching 50 on offense. Dallas comes into the game with 86 power play opportunities and they have notched 21 goals out of those chances, garnering them a percentage of 24.42%. For the year, the have a total of 25 points and their points % is .500. Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars have racked up 71 goals (25th in hockey) so far this season and have allowed 64.

The man protecting the net in this game is Anton Khudobin. The opposition has notched 527 goals versus Khudobin in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.47. Khudobin has participated in 232 contests throughout his pro hockey career. His save percentage is at .918 in his 12,815 mins in the crease. He has amassed an overall record of 104-84-26 and he has gotten the start in 212 games. For his career, Khudobin has accounted for 123 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .580. Khudobin has had 6,451 shots taken against him and he has 5,924 saves.

Their last time out, Detroit went up against the Hurricanes in a game where the Red Wings ended up with the win by a final of 4-2. Their PDO was 108 and they earned an oZS percentage of 43.6%. They had 6 power play chances in this outing and notched 2 out of those opportunities. They had a Fenwick percentage of 37.7% by way of having a Fenwick of 23 and the Hurricanes finishing with a 38 Fenwick at even strength. The Red Wings had 4 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they pursued. Detroit went home with a 35.5% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Detroit had and they put on a good performance in this one.

The Red Wings are sitting with 57 goals at even strength and 11 goals (28th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. Detroit has taken 839 shots (17th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 8.10%, while allowing their opponents 939 shots. During this campaign, the Detroit Red Wings are sitting with 68 goals, 22 points, in addition to a points percentage of .367. They have a tally of 90 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 12.22%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 70.93% on their oppositions 86 chances on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 89.5%. They have granted a total of 99 goals to be scored by way of 74 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the rink you are likely to see Jonathan Bernier defending the goal. Teams are averaging 2.76 goals/game and he has conceded 975 goals overall. Bernier's quality start percentage comes out to 53.0% and he has accumulated 184 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has been a starter 347 games and his ice time sits at 21,178 minutes. Bernier has amassed a career record of 160-154-38 and has played in 386 games. He has recorded 10,168 stops out of the 11,143 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .913.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (-188)

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