Dallas Stars vs Columbus Blue Jackets Prediction, 10/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Columbus Blue Jackets

Date: Monday, October 25, 2021

Location: Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (-147) Blue Jackets (+105)

Nationwide Arena is the site where Elvis Merzlikins and the Columbus Blue Jackets (3-2-0) will play the Dallas Stars (3-2-0) on Monday. The Stars open this game at -147 while the Blue Jackets are priced at +105. The over/under has been set at 5.5.

The Stars were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 victory over the Kings their last time out. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 46.1% and their PDO rating was 103.5 for this matchup. They tallied 16 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 14 attempts to control the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 25 and the Fenwick Against sat at 42, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 37.3%. The Corsi for the Stars was 38 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 57 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 40.0%. Dallas garnered 10 penalty mins for this game. Moreover, they had 4 chances on the power play and netted 2 goals. The Stars had an average offensive output in this victory. In the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 3 of the 23 shots they put on goal.

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Dallas Stars opponents have 16 power play opportunities (18th in professional hockey) and have come away with 3 goals in those chances. The Stars have had 173 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .936. Dallas has attempted 140 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 7.1%. While at even strength, the Stars let the opposition score 8 goals while getting 7 themselves. Dallas comes into the game with 14 power play chances and they have scored 3 goals out of those chances, garnering them a rate of 21.43%. For the season, they have 6 points and their points percentage is .600. When it comes to their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars have accumulated 10 goals (28th in the National Hockey League) this season and have allowed 11.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Braden Holtby. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Holtby has accumulated 276 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .573. He has a save percentage of .915 for his 28,259 minutes guarding the cage. Holtby has had 14,275 shots against him and has amassed 13,060 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 1,215 goals against Holtby in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.58. He has earned an overall record of 290-134-49 and he has started in 482 games. Holtby has played in 492 games over the course of his hockey career.

In their last contest, Columbus faced off against the Hurricanes in a matchup where the Blue Jackets took the defeat by a mark of 5-1. Columbus wrapped up this game with a 51.9% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Columbus had and we'd say it was a below average outing in all. Their Fenwick percentage was 50.0% with a Fenwick of 29 and the Hurricanes ending the game with a 29 Fenwick. Their PDO at even strength was 91 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 27.8%. The Blue Jackets tallied 1 goal out of the 28 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play attempts in this game and earned 1 goal out of those tries.

On the campaign, the Columbus Blue Jackets have earned a total of 15 goals, 6 points, as well as a points percentage of .600. They have allowed 14 goals to be scored by of a combination of 10 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Blue Jackets have earned 10 goals at even strength and 5 goals (10th in the league) while having a power play advantage. They have a total of 15 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 33.33%. Columbus has taken 134 shots (30th in the league) and has a shooting percentage of 11.19%, while allowing the opposition 172 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 77.78% on the other teams 18 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 91.9%.

Across the rink you are expected to see Elvis Merzlikins defending the net. Opponents are averaging 2.49 goals/game and he has yielded 145 goals in total. Merzlikins' quality start percentage is 59.6% and he has 34 quality starts in his professional career. He has made the start in 57 games and his ice time sits at 3,496 minutes. Merzlikins has amassed a lifetime mark of 24-21-13 and has participated in 64 games. He has compiled 1,693 stops out of 1,838 shots tried, giving him a save percentage of .921.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (-147)

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