Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames Prediction, 11/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames

Date: Thursday, November 4, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+105) Flames (-152)

Braden Holtby and the Dallas Stars travel to Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday where they'll meet the Calgary Flames. The Stars open this game at +105 while the Flames are coming in at -152. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Stars were on the losing side of the ice with a 4-3 loss to the Jets in their last game. The Stars offense didn't overly impress in this loss. For the matchup, they earned a goal on 3 of the 27 shots they tried. In addition, they had 2 chances on the power play and were able to score 1 goal. Dallas had 4 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Corsi for the Stars sat at 44 and the Corsi against was at 59 which means they had a Corsi rate of 42.7%. Their Fenwick was 32 and the Fenwick against finished at 44, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 42.1%. They accounted for 29 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 30 opportunities to control the puck. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 48.4% and they had a PDO of 105.0 for this one.

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The Stars have had 279 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .910. While at even strength, the Stars have allowed the opponent to score 19 goals while scoring 12 as an offensive unit. Dallas Stars opponents have 28 power play opportunities (18th in pro hockey) and have earned 6 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they have recorded 8 points and their points percentage sits at .444. Dallas has taken 272 shots and holds a shot percentage of 6.3%. When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Dallas Stars have racked up 17 goals (31st in the league) on the campaign and have allowed 25. Dallas skates onto the rink with 22 power play opportunities and they have tallied 5 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 22.73%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Braden Holtby. For his professional hockey career, Holtby has recorded 278 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .572. His save percentage currently is at .915 in his 28,503 mins between the pipes. Holtby has seen 14,404 shots against him and has amassed 13,177 saves. The opposition has racked up 1,227 goals against Holtby in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.58. He has earned an overall mark of 291-136-50 and he has started in 486 games. Holtby has participated in 496 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

In their last game, Calgary faced the Predators in a matchup where the Flames took the defeat by a mark of 3-2. Calgary earned a 61.8% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Calgary had and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game. Their Fenwick percentage was 63.9% by earning a Fenwick of 46 and the Predators ending the game with a 26 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 88 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 50.2%. The Flames had 2 goals out of the 40 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 6 power play chances in this matchup and scored 1 goal out of those chances.

The Flames have earned 23 goals at even strength and 8 goals (5th in the NHL) while on the power play. Calgary has attempted 323 shots (3rd in the league) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.60%, while allowing their opponents 264 shots. Over the course of the season, the Calgary Flames have accounted for 31 goals, 14 points, as well as a points percentage of .778. They have a total of 30 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 26.67%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 85.71% on their oppositions 28 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 93.2%. They have allowed 18 goals to be scored by of a combination of 14 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the ice you are likely to see Jacob Markstrom defending the net. His opponents are averaging 2.75 goals per contest and he has yielded 842 goals altogether. Markstrom's quality start percentage is 52.3% and he has 160 quality starts in his career. He was named a starter in 306 games and has played 18,341 minutes. Markstrom has accrued a career mark of 136-138-36 and has participated in 322 contests. He has recorded 8,583 stops out of 9,425 shots tried, giving him a save % of .911.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (+105)

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