Dallas Stars vs Boston Bruins Prediction, 10/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Boston Bruins

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+144) Bruins (-160)

Linus Ullmark and the Boston Bruins play the Dallas Stars at TD Garden on Saturday. The Stars open this game at +144 while the Bruins are coming in at -160. The total is set at 5.5.

The Stars will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 3-2 win over the Rangers in their previous game. The Stars were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the win. For the game, they scored on 3 out of the 26 shots they attempted. In addition, they had 2 power play tries and were able to score 1 goal. Dallas earned 6 penalty mins for this matchup. The Corsi for the Stars was 41 and the Corsi against was 58 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 41.4%. Their Fenwick came in at 30 and the Fenwick against was 40, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 42.9%. They tallied 20 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 26 attempts to gain puck control. Their offensive zone starts came in at 28.6% and their PDO was 101.8 for this one.

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In reference to their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars notched 156 goals (18th in the league) in the prior season and conceded 148. For the prior season, they earned 60 points and their points percentage was .536. Dallas tallied 157 power play chances and notched 37 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 23.57%. While at even strength, the Stars allowed 116 goals while having 119. Dallas tried 1,699 shots and had a shooting percentage of 9.2%. The Stars had 1,518 shots taken against them and had a save percentage of .903. Dallas Stars opposition had 153 power play opportunities (23rd in pro hockey) and came away with 32 goals in those chances.

The man protecting the net in this game is Anton Khudobin. Khudobin has participated in 251 games during his pro hockey career. He has earned a win-loss record of 112-87-32 and he started in 230 games. Opponents have been able to score 569 goals versus Khudobin in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.46. Khudobin has had 6,892 shots against him and has garnered 6,323 total saves. His save percentage sits at .917 during his 13,853 mins in the crease. Over the course of his pro career, Khudobin is sitting with 133 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .578.

In their last contest, Boston went up against the Islanders in a game where the Bruins ended up taking the loss by a final of 6-2. Boston had a 50.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Boston had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick rate came in at 52.2% with a Fenwick of 35 and the Islanders having racked up a 32 Fenwick. Their PDO was 79 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 51.9%. The Bruins had 2 goals of the 25 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 chances on the power play in this game and netted 2 goals out of those chances.

Boston took 1,866 shots (3rd in hockey) and had a shooting percentage of 8.79%, while allowing the opposition 1,516 shots. They had a penalty kill percentage of 85.96% on their opposition's 178 power play tries, and their save percentage came in at 91.2%. They had 160 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 21.88%. The Bruins earned 129 goals at even strength and 35 goals (14th in hockey) while on the power play. They allowed 134 goals to be scored by of a combination of 109 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they had less men on the ice. Over the course of the season, the Boston Bruins earned a total of 164 goals, 73 points, in addition to a points percentage of .652.

On the other side of the ice you will find Linus Ullmark patrolling the crease. His opponents are averaging 2.78 goals/game and he has allowed 309 goals altogether. Ullmark's percentage of quality starts comes out to 56.3% and he has 63 quality starts in his professional career. He has made the start in 112 games and his ice time sits at 6,676 mins. Ullmark has amassed a lifetime mark of 50-47-13 and has played in 117 games. He has gathered 3,218 saves out of 3,527 shots taken, which gives him a rate of .912.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (+144)

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