Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 12/1/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Wednesday, December 1, 2021

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-103) Maple Leafs (-118)

Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (16-6-1) host the Colorado Avalanche (11-6-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. The Avalanche open this matchup at -103 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -118. The over/under is set at 6.

The Avalanche were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6-2 win against the Predators their last time on the ice. The Corsi for the Avalanche sat at 54 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 44 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 55.1%. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 57.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 107.7 for this game. Colorado earned 12 penalty minutes in this game. The Avalanche had a good offensive performance in the win. Their Fenwick came in at 35 and the Fenwick against was 35, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 50.0%. They accounted for 24 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 24 opportunities to take control of the puck. Furthermore, they had 4 power play chances and scored 2 goals. While out there on the ice, they earned a goal on 6 of the 35 shots they put on goal.

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The Avalanche have had 539 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .896. While at even strength, the Avalanche have given up 44 goals while earning 56 of their own. Colorado Avalanche opponents have recorded 49 power play tries (30th in hockey) and have racked up 12 goals in those chances. For the current season, they sit with 23 points and their points % is .639. Colorado has attempted 595 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 12.1%. In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Colorado Avalanche have notched 72 goals (5th in the NHL) for the season and have surrendered 56. Colorado has tallied 73 power play opportunities and they have notched 16 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 21.92%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Darcy Kuemper. Kuemper has been involved in 257 games throughout his hockey career. He has an overall record of 115-88-32 and he was named the starter in 240 games. Opponents have been able to score 600 goals against Kuemper in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.49. Kuemper has seen 7,141 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 6,541 total saves. He has a save percentage of .916 for his 14,445 minutes in the crease. In his career, Kuemper has 134 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .558.

In their last game, Toronto went up against the Ducks in a game where the Maple Leafs got the victory by a final of 5-1. They had 1 power play opportunity in this one but weren't able to score a goal. The Maple Leafs earned 5 goals of the 31 shots on goal they took. Their PDO was 115 and their percentage of oZS was 59.3%. Toronto had a 48.1% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Toronto played and it was a good performance overall. Their Fenwick rate came in at 48.3% by notching a Fenwick of 43 and the Ducks having accrued a 46 Fenwick.

The Maple Leafs are sitting with 51 goals at even strength and 15 goals (5th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. Toronto has put up 778 shots (3rd in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 8.48%, while allowing the opposition 700 shots. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 66 goals, 33 points, and a points percentage of .717. They have recorded 62 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play rate of 24.19%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 86.67% on the other teams 60 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 93.0%. They have allowed 49 goals to be scored by of a combination of 41 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the rink you are expected to see Jack Campbell in net. Teams are averaging 2.32 goals/game and he has relinquished 225 goals in total. Campbell's rate of quality starts is 58.9% and he has qualified for 56 quality starts in his pro career. He has started in 95 games and has racked up 5,815 minutes. Campbell is the owner of a lifetime mark of 52-34-9 and has participated in 104 games. He has racked up 2,679 saves out of the 2,904 shots taken, which gives him a rate of .923.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Colorado (-103)

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