Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 10/23/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (+110) Lightning (-135)

Darcy Kuemper and the Colorado Avalanche go to Amalie Arena on Saturday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Lightning open this contest at -135 while the Avalanche are coming in at +110. The total opens at 6.

The Avalanche will look for better times on the ice after their 4-1 defeat to the Panthers their last time on the ice. The Corsi for the Avalanche sat at 45 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 52 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 46.4%. Their offensive zone starts were at 53.6% and they had a PDO of 93.2 in this game. Colorado recorded 6 penalty minutes in this contest. The Avalanche didn't have their best offensive outing in this loss. Their Fenwick was 33 and the Fenwick against was 37, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 47.1%. They accounted for 18 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 33 attempts to take control of the puck. Furthermore, they had 3 chances on the power play but didn't net one. In the matchup, they tallied a score on 1 out of the 31 shots they attempted.

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In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Colorado Avalanche have notched 11 goals (19th in the National Hockey League) so far this year and have allowed 17. For the season, they have recorded 2 points and their points percentage sits at .250. Colorado has accumulated 14 power play chances and they have tallied 1 goal out of those chances, earning them a percentage of 7.14%. When playing at even strength, the Avalanche have allowed 14 goals while scoring 10 themselves. Colorado has attempted 126 shots and has a shot percentage of 8.7%. The Avalanche have had 140 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .879. Colorado Avalanche opponents have 13 power play tries (17th in the league) and have scored 3 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Darcy Kuemper. In his career, Kuemper has accrued 128 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .561. His save percentage sits at .916 during his 13,774 minutes in the crease. Kuemper has had 6,830 shots taken against him and has accrued 6,259 total saves. Opponents have racked up 571 goals against Kuemper in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.49. He has compiled a mark of 107-85-32 and was named the starter in 228 games. Kuemper has taken the ice for 245 contests throughout his pro hockey career.

When they were on the ice last, Tampa Bay played the Panthers in an outing where the Lightning ended up taking the loss by a tally of 4-1. They had 6 chances on the power play in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. The Lightning had 1 goal of the 31 shots on goal they attempted. Their PDO at even strength was 93 and their oZS percentage was 59.4%. Tampa Bay wound up with a 46.2% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Tampa Bay had and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 49.2% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Panthers having accrued a 31 Fenwick.

Tampa Bay has taken 131 shots (10th in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 9.16%, while allowing their opponents 126 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 84.62% on their oppositions 13 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 86.5%. They have earned 15 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 20.00%. The Lightning are sitting with 9 goals at even strength and 3 goals (14th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have granted a total of 17 goals to be scored by way of 15 goals at even strength and 2 goals while they had less men on the ice. On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned a total of 12 goals, 4 points, as well as a points percentage of .500.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in net. Vasilevskiy has earned a career record of 192-85-19 and has played in 306 games. Vasilevskiy's rate of quality starts comes out to 55.7% and he has 165 quality starting assignments in his career. He has a tally of 8,544 stops out of 9,293 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .919. Opponents are averaging 2.51 goals per contest and he has surrendered 749 goals altogether. He has started in 296 games and has been on the ice for 17,872 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-135)

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