Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, 4/7/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild

Date: Wednesday, April 7, 2021

Location: Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, MN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-175) Wild (+145)

Philipp Grubauer and the Colorado Avalanche (26-8-4) are headed to Xcel Energy Center on Wednesday where they'll take on the Minnesota Wild (23-12-2). The Wild open this matchup at +145 while the Avalanche are coming in at -175. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Avalanche were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5-4 victory over the Wild in their previous outing. When starting in the offensive zone they were rated at 76.5% and their PDO rating was 99.2 for this game. They accumulated 30 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 29 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick was 42 and the Fenwick Against sat at 19, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 68.9%. The Corsi for the Avalanche was sitting at 52 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 25 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 67.5%. Colorado compiled 37 penalty minutes in this outing. Additionally, they had 3 chances with the advantage and were able to score 1 goal. The Avalanche had a solid offensive outing in the win. While out there on the ice, they netted 5 out of the 36 shots they put on goal.

Colorado Avalanche opponents have 122 power play tries (7th in professional hockey) and have come away with 17 goals in those chances. The Avalanche have had 959 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .910. Colorado has tried 1,345 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.2%. While playing at even strength, the Avalanche have conceded 69 goals while notching 104 as an offensive unit. Colorado is sitting with 140 power play chances and they have scored 33 goals during those advantages, giving them a percentage of 23.57%. For the season, they have earned 56 points and their points % is .737. In regard to their scoring capabilities, the Colorado Avalanche have accumulated 137 goals (1st in the NHL) this season and have given up 86.

The man protecting the net in this game is Philipp Grubauer. Grubauer has been involved in 206 games throughout his NHL career. He has a win-loss record of 103-59-21 and he has started in 179 games. Opponents have notched 438 goals versus Grubauer in his pro career and his goals against average per game is 2.34. Grubauer has seen 5,537 shots against him and has recorded 5,099 saves. His save percentage currently is at .921 in his 11,253 minutes in the crease. For his career, Grubauer is sitting with 107 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .598.

In their loss to Colorado, the Wild's PDO at even strength was 101 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 23.5%. They had 6 opportunities on the power play in this matchup and earned 2 out of those opportunities. They had a Fenwick percentage of 31.1% by earning a Fenwick of 19 and the Avalanche finishing with a 42 Fenwick at even strength. The Wild scored 4 goals of the 25 shots on goal they were seeking. Minnesota wound up with a 32.5% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Minnesota played and they put on a good performance in this one.

Minnesota has tried 1,077 shots (25th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 9.94%, while allowing the other team 1,138 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 85.71% on the other teams 119 power play chances, and their save percentage is 91.8%. They have earned 117 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 11.97%. The Wild have accumulated 93 goals at even strength and 14 goals (27th in hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have allowed 93 goals to be scored by way of 76 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Minnesota Wild have earned 107 goals, 48 points, in addition to a points percentage of .649.

Across the ice you are likely to see Cam Talbot in net. He has recorded 8,972 stops out of the 9,796 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .916. Talbot is the owner of a career record of 161-128-27 and has played in 334 contests. He got the starting nod in 320 games and has played 19,065 mins. Talbot's quality start rate sits at 52.8% and he has qualified for 169 quality starts in his pro career. His opponents are averaging 2.59 goals per contest and he has conceded 824 goals in total.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Minnesota (+145) and under 5.5 goals

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