Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets Prediction, 11/6/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021
Location: Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (+105) Blue Jackets (-110)
Nationwide Arena is the site where Elvis Merzlikins and the Columbus Blue Jackets (6-3-0) will play the Colorado Avalanche (4-4-1) on Saturday. The Blue Jackets open this matchup at -110 while the Avalanche are coming in at +105. The O/U has been set at 5.5.
The Avalanche were on the losing side of the ice with a 5-4 defeat against the Blue Jackets in their previous contest. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 40.6% and they had a PDO of 103.5 in this game. They had 26 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 24 opportunities to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 27 and the Fenwick Against sat at 43, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 38.6%. The Corsi for the Avalanche sat at 46 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 60 which means they had a Corsi rate of 43.4%. Colorado accrued 6 mins in the box for this contest. They also had 3 chances with the advantage but didn't convert them into a score. The Avalanche had a impressive offensive output in this loss. While out there on the ice, they scored on 4 out of the 32 shots they put on net.
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Colorado Avalanche opponents have 22 power play opportunities (31st in pro hockey) and have notched 4 goals in those chances. The Avalanche have had 286 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .888. Colorado has tried 285 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.5%. When at even strength, the Avalanche let the opposition score 28 goals while earning 23 on the offensive side of the ice. Colorado has 34 power play chances and they have notched 4 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 11.76%. For the current season, they have scored 9 points and their points percentage sits at .500. When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Colorado Avalanche have accumulated 27 goals (20th in the NHL) this year and have allowed 32.
The player protecting the goal in this game is Darcy Kuemper. In his professional hockey career, Kuemper has 130 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .560. His save percentage sits at .916 during his 14,018 mins between the pipes. Kuemper has seen 6,938 shots taken against him and has recorded 6,358 saves. Opponents have racked up 580 goals versus Kuemper in his career and his average for goals against per game is 2.48. He has accumulated a record of 110-86-32 and he was named the starter in 232 games. Kuemper has been involved in 249 contests during his NHL career.
In their last contest, Columbus faced off against the Avalanche in a matchup where the Blue Jackets ended up with the victory by a tally of 5-4. Columbus went home with a 56.6% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Columbus played and we'd say they played well overall. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 61.4% by earning a Fenwick of 43 and the Avalanche ending the game with a 27 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 97 and their oZS percentage was 59.4%. The Blue Jackets converted 5 goals out of the 37 shots on goal they took. They had 1 power play chance in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net.
Columbus has attempted 254 shots (30th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 10.63%, while allowing their opponents 312 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 80.00% on their opponents 30 tries on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 91.7%. They have earned 24 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 25.00%. The Blue Jackets have 21 goals at even strength and 6 goals (19th in the league) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 26 goals to be scored by way of 20 goals at even strength and 6 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the season, the Columbus Blue Jackets have tallied 27 goals, 12 points, as well as a points percentage of .667.
For the opposition you are expected to see Elvis Merzlikins in net. His opposition is averaging 2.49 goals per game and he has allowed 150 goals in total. Merzlikins' percentage of quality starts is 59.3% and he has earned 35 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He has made the start in 59 contests and his ice time sits at 3,616 minutes. Merzlikins has a career record of 25-22-13 and has played in 66 contests. He is sitting with 1,757 stops out of the 1,907 shots taken against him, giving him a save percentage of .921.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Columbus (-110)
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Additional Resources:
Columbus Blue Jackets - Twitter
Colorado Avalanche - Twitter