Colorado Avalanche vs Anaheim Ducks Prediction, 4/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs Anaheim Ducks

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Honda Center in Anaheim, CA

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-370) Ducks (+255)

Philipp Grubauer and the Colorado Avalanche (27-9-4) head to Honda Center on Sunday where they'll take on the Anaheim Ducks (12-22-7). The line on this matchup has the Avalanche priced at -370 and the Ducks are at +255. The O/U is set at 5.5.

The Avalanche had a good night with a 2-0 victory against the Ducks in their last contest. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 56.4% and they had a PDO of 106.9 in this game. They compiled 21 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 43 and the Fenwick against finished at 36, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 54.4%. The Corsi for the Avalanche was 54 and the Corsi against was 44 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 55.1%. Colorado tallied 6 penalty minutes in this matchup. Additionally, they had 3 power play opportunities but didn't convert them into a score. The Avalanche could have played much better offensively in this win. For the game, they tallied a score on 2 of the 35 shots they tried.

Pertaining to scoring goals, the Colorado Avalanche have notched 142 goals (1st in pro hockey) for the season and have allowed 94. For the season, they have scored 58 points and their points percentage is .725. Colorado steps onto the ice with 150 power play opportunities and they have notched 35 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 23.33%. At even strength, the Avalanche have conceded 73 goals while notching 107 on the offensive side of the ice. Colorado has attempted 1,412 shots and has a shot percentage of 10.1%. The Avalanche have had 1,006 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .907. Colorado Avalanche opponents have tallied 129 power play opportunities (4th in professional hockey) and have tallied 21 goals in those chances.

The player in the crease for this game is Philipp Grubauer. Over the course of his pro career, Grubauer has 107 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .594. His save percentage is .920 during his 11,300 mins on the ice. Grubauer has seen 5,555 shot attempts against him and has accrued 5,110 saves. Opponents have been able to score 445 goals against Grubauer in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.36. He has compiled an overall mark of 103-60-21 and he has gotten the start in 180 games. Grubauer has been involved in 207 games over the course of his pro hockey career.

In their loss to Colorado, Anaheim went home with a 44.9% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Anaheim played and it could be said that this team has had better games. Their Fenwick percentage was 45.6% by earning a Fenwick of 36 and the Avalanche having racked up a 43 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 93 and their oZS percentage was 43.6%. The Ducks notched 0 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 attempts on the power play in this contest but weren't able to score a goal.

Over the course of the season, the Anaheim Ducks have tallied 91 goals, 31 points, and a points percentage of .378. They have permitted 131 goals to be scored by way of 104 goals at even strength and 27 goals while they were shorthanded. The Ducks have 81 goals at even strength and 10 goals (31st in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 89 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 11.24%. Anaheim has attempted 1,114 shots (29th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 8.17%, while allowing their opponents 1,244 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 77.12% on the other teams 118 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage comes in at 89.5%.

For the opposition you will find John Gibson patrolling the crease. He has racked up 8,460 stops out of 9,225 shots attempted, giving him a save percentage of .917. Gibson is the owner of a career record of 147-116-39 and has played in 314 games. He has started in 306 contests and has accumulated 17,962 minutes. Gibson's quality start rate is 55.9% and he has made 171 quality starting assignments in his pro career. Teams are averaging 2.56 goals per game and he has yielded 765 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Colorado (-370)

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