Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 6/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Saturday, June 5, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: USA

Odds/Point Spread: Hurricanes (+111) Lightning (-137)

Alex Nedeljkovic and the Carolina Hurricanes (36-12-8) go to Amalie Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) in Game 4 of their series. Tampa leads 2-1. The odds on this game have the Hurricanes coming in at +111 and the Lightning are at -137. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Hurricanes were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 win against the Lightning in Game 3. The Hurricanes played like an average offensive team in the victory. For the matchup, they finished 3 of the 27 shots they looked to score on. They also had 2 attempts on the power play and netted 1 goal. Carolina compiled 4 penalty minutes in this matchup. The Corsi for the Hurricanes came in at 46 and the Corsi against when all was said and done was 53 which means they had a Corsi rate of 46.5%. Their Fenwick was 37 and the Fenwick against was 41, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 47.4%. They accumulated 27 face-off victories when at even strength and were beaten on 19 opportunities to take control of the puck. The offensive zone starts for them sat at 40.0% and their PDO rating was 108.3 for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes opponents have 176 power play tries (6th in the league) and have notched 26 goals in those attempts. The Hurricanes have had 1,581 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .915. Carolina has attempted 1,794 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.8%. While at even strength, the Hurricanes let the opposition score 108 goals while earning 133 themselves. Carolina skates onto the rink with 164 power play chances and they have scored 42 goals out of those tries, earning them a rate of 25.61%. For the current campaign, they sit with 80 points and their points percentage comes in at .714. When it comes to their scoring, the Carolina Hurricanes have notched 175 goals (11th in the NHL) so far this season and have conceded 134.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Alex Nedeljkovic. Opponents have racked up 57 goals against Nedeljkovic in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.01. Nedeljkovic has played in 29 games throughout his NHL career. He has a save percentage of .928 during his 1,698 mins between the pipes. He has a win-loss mark of 17-7-4 and he started in 27 games. During his career on the ice, Nedeljkovic has earned 17 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .630. Nedeljkovic has seen 788 shots against him and has recorded 731 total saves.

In their Game 3 loss, Tampa Bay wrapped up this game with a 53.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 52.6% by earning a Fenwick of 41 and the Hurricanes having a 37 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO was 92 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 60.0%. The Lightning scored 2 goals out of the 37 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 3 attempts on the power play in this outing and tallied 2 out of those chances.

Tampa Bay has taken 1,692 shots (9th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 10.64%, while allowing their opponents 1,583 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 84.15% on the other teams 183 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.8%. They have earned 179 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 22.35%. The Lightning have earned 140 goals at even strength and 40 goals (4th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have permitted 145 goals to be scored by way of 116 goals at even strength and 29 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 180 goals, 75 points, in addition to a points percentage of .670.

For the opposition you are likely to see Andrei Vasilevskiy in net. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a lifetime mark of 190-83-19 and has been in net for 302 games. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts sits at 56.2% and he has qualified for 164 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. He has racked up 8,435 saves out of the 9,171 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .920. His opponents are averaging 2.51 goals/game and he has yielded 736 goals altogether. He has started in 292 games and has played for a total of 17,629 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Carolina (+111)

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