Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 4/19/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, April 19, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Hurricanes (+119) Lightning (-131)

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (29-13-2) host the Carolina Hurricanes (29-10-4) at Amalie Arena on Monday. The Lightning open this matchup at -131 while the Hurricanes are priced at +119. The O/U opens at 5.5.

The Hurricanes came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-1 win against the Predators in the last game they played. Their offensive zone starts sat at 68.9% and they had a PDO at even strength of 103.0 for this one. They accrued 30 face-off victories at even strength and were beaten on 26 attempts to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 61 and the Fenwick Against sat at 34, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 64.2%. The Corsi for the Hurricanes sat at 77 and the Corsi against was 50 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 60.6%. Carolina amassed 4 penalty mins in this outing. Furthermore, they had 2 attempts on the power play but weren't able to score. The Hurricanes had an average offensive output in the win. For the game, they netted 3 out of the 48 shots they put on net.

The Hurricanes have had 1,209 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .916. At even strength, the Hurricanes have allowed the opponent to score 80 goals while having 100 of their own. Carolina Hurricanes opponents have totaled 138 power play tries (6th in hockey) and have scored 22 goals in those chances. For the year, they have earned 62 points and their points percentage sits at .721. Carolina has taken 1,401 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 9.7%. In relation to their scoring, the Carolina Hurricanes have notched 136 goals (11th in the league) so far this year and have surrendered 102. Carolina skates onto the rink with 129 power play chances and they have tallied 36 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 27.91%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Petr Mrazek. Over the course of his time in hockey, Mrazek has accrued 128 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .520. His save percentage is .911 in his 15,203 minutes on the ice. Mrazek has had 7,360 shots against him and has accrued 6,705 saves. Opponents have racked up 655 goals versus Mrazek in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.59. He has amassed a mark of 127-95-29 and got the start in 246 games. Mrazek has been involved in 271 games throughout his NHL career.

In their last outing, Tampa Bay faced off against the Panthers in an outing where the Lightning took a loss by a mark of 5-3. Tampa Bay had a 53.3% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and it tells us they had an average game overall. Their Fenwick rate was 48.6% by accumulating a Fenwick of 35 and the Panthers ending the game with a 37 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO at even strength was 97 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 60.3%. The Lightning tallied 3 goals out of the 31 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 power play attempts in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal.

The Lightning are sitting with 113 goals at even strength and 35 goals (4th in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. Tampa Bay has put up 1,328 shots (11th in hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.14%, while allowing their opponents 1,257 shots. This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 148 goals, 60 points, in addition to a points percentage of .682. They have a total of 139 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 25.18%. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 82.76% on the other teams 145 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 90.9%. They have permitted 114 goals to be scored by of a combination of 89 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded.

Across the rink you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy defending the net. Vasilevskiy is the owner of a career record of 185-80-19 and has been in goal for 294 games. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate is 56.3% and he has accumulated 160 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has tallied 8,227 stops out of the 8,940 shots tried, giving him a save % of .920. His opposition is averaging 2.49 goals/game and he has allowed 713 goals in total. He has been a starter 284 contests and has played 17,148 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Carolina (+119)

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