Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 2/24/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Wednesday, February 24, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hurricanes (+120) Lightning (-143)

Amalie Arena is the venue where Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (11-4-1) will take on the Carolina Hurricanes (12-4-1) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Hurricanes priced at +120 and the Lightning are at -143. The O/U is set at 6.5.

The Hurricanes were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 4-2 loss against the Lightning in the last game they played. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 46.7% and they had a PDO at even strength of 91.1 for this matchup. They tallied 29 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 19 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 45 and the Fenwick against finished at 41, giving them a Fenwick rate of 52.3%. The Corsi for the Hurricanes came in at 57 and the Corsi against was 53 which means they had a Corsi rate of 51.8%. Carolina earned 6 minutes in the box in this contest. Furthermore, they had 3 chances with the advantage and were able to score 1 goal. The Hurricanes had a below average offensive performance in this loss. In the matchup, they scored on 2 of the 36 shots they attempted.

The Hurricanes have had 480 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .902. At even strength, the Hurricanes have allowed the opponent to score 35 goals while getting 45 as an offensive unit. Carolina Hurricanes opponents have amassed 60 power play tries (10th in the league) and have come away with 12 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they sit with 25 points and their points percentage is .735. Carolina has tried 548 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.1%. With regard to scoring goals, the Carolina Hurricanes have accumulated 61 goals (4th in the league) on the campaign and have surrendered 47. Carolina comes into tonight with 55 power play chances and they have notched 16 goals out of those tries, garnering them a rate of 29.09%.

The player between the pipes for this game is James Reimer. The opposition has notched 944 goals versus Reimer in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 2.81. Reimer has been involved in 373 contests over the course of his pro hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .913 for his 20,179 mins played. He has earned an overall mark of 166-128-41 and he has gotten the start in 339 games. In his career, Reimer has accumulated 172 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .507. Reimer has seen 10,861 shots against him and has garnered 9,917 total saves.

In their win over Carolina, the Lightnings PDO was 109 and their oZS percentage was 53.3%. They had 4 power play chances in this matchup and notched 1 out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick rate came in at 47.7% by earning a Fenwick of 41 and the Hurricanes having accrued a 45 Fenwick at even strength. The Lightning scored 4 goals out of the 32 shots on goal they attempted. Tampa Bay earned a 48.2% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Tampa Bay played and it tells us that they played really well in this game.

So far this year, the Tampa Bay Lightning have notched a total of 58 goals, 23 points, in addition to a points percentage of .719. They have granted a total of 38 goals to be scored by way of 30 goals at even strength and 8 goals while they were shorthanded. The Lightning are sitting with 44 goals at even strength and 14 goals (12th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have recorded 55 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 25.45%. Tampa Bay has attempted 492 shots (21st in professional hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.79%, while allowing the opposition 454 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 85.19% on the other teams 54 power play chances, and their save percentage comes in at 91.6%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes. Teams are averaging 2.53 goals/game and he has relinquished 671 goals altogether. Vasilevskiy's percentage of quality starts sits at 56.8% and he has accumulated 150 quality starts in his NHL career. He got the starting nod in 264 games and has played 15,943 mins. Vasilevskiy has earned a lifetime mark of 169-76-19 and has participated in 274 contests. He has a tally of 7,669 saves out of the 8,340 shots attempted against him, which gives him a rate of .920.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Carolina (+120)

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