Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 3/1/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Monday, March 1, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-161) Senators (+145)

Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators (7-15-1) host the Calgary Flames (10-10-2) at Canadian Tire Centre on Monday. The Flames open this contest at -161 while the Senators are coming in at +145. The over/under opens at 6.

The Flames were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 6-3 victory over the Senators in their previous contest. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 49.8% and they had a PDO of 112.9 for this matchup. They had 28 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 28 attempts to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 39 and the Fenwick against finished at 33, giving them a Fenwick rate of 54.2%. The Corsi for the Flames sat at 56 and the Corsi against was at 43 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 56.6%. Calgary accrued 15 penalty mins in this outing. They also had 4 chances with the advantage and scored 1 goal. The Flames had a solid offensive performance in the win. For the outing, they converted 6 of the 38 shots they put on net.

With regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Calgary Flames have accounted for 57 goals (18th in the league) over the course of the season and have given up 65. For the current campaign, they have scored 22 points and their points percentage is .500. Calgary has compiled 80 power play chances and they have scored 17 goals during those advantages, earning them a rate of 21.25%. While at even strength, the Flames have allowed 48 goals while having 40 on the offensive side of the ice. Calgary has taken 646 shots and holds a shot percentage of 8.8%. The Flames have had 679 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .904. Calgary Flames opponents have earned 78 power play tries (3rd in the league) and have scored 17 goals in those chances.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jacob Markstrom. Markstrom has been in goal for 287 contests during his pro hockey career. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 118-124-33 and he was named the starter in 271 games. Opponents have been able to score 761 goals versus Markstrom in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.81. Markstrom has seen 8,508 shots taken against him and has amassed 7,747 saves. His save percentage sits at .911 in his 16,266 minutes between the pipes. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Markstrom has 140 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .517.

In their loss to Calgary, Ottawa had a 43.4% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Ottawa had and you could say that they played like a middle of the road team. Their Fenwick percentage was 45.8% with a Fenwick of 33 and the Flames having earned a 39 Fenwick. Their PDO was 87 and they earned an oZS percentage of 50.2%. The Senators scored 3 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they pursued. They had 6 attempts on the power play in this one and scored 3 out of those chances.

The Senators have accumulated 47 goals at even strength and 13 goals (18th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. Ottawa has taken 750 shots (2nd in pro hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 8.00%, while allowing the other team 726 shots. For the season, the Ottawa Senators have earned 60 goals, 15 points, as well as a points percentage of .326. They have earned 83 power play chances and they have earned a power play percentage of 15.66%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 75.34% on the other teams 73 tries on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 87.5%. They have allowed 91 goals to be scored by of a combination of 73 goals at even strength and 18 goals while they had less men on the ice.

For the opposition you will find Matt Murray in net. He has accrued 5,813 saves out of the 6,376 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .912. Murray has accumulated a career record of 122-63-20 and has been in net for 217 games. He has started in 209 games and has played 12,302 minutes. Murray's percentage of quality starts comes out to 51.2% and he has qualified for 107 quality starting assignments in his professional career. Teams are averaging 2.75 goals per game and he has conceded 563 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+145)

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