Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 2/25/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Thursday, February 25, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-160) Senators (+140)

Canadian Tire Centre is the site where Matt Murray and the Ottawa Senators (6-14-1) will play the Calgary Flames (9-9-1) on Thursday. The Senators open this game at +140 while the Flames are coming in at -160. The O/U is set at 6.5.

The Flames had a good night with a 3-0 victory against the Maple Leafs their last time out. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 50.0% and their PDO rating was 105.0 for this matchup. They amassed 20 face-off victories at even strength and lost on 15 opportunities to win the face-off. Their Fenwick was 26 and the Fenwick against was 39, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 40.0%. The Corsi for the Flames was 32 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 47 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 40.5%. Calgary had 10 minutes in the box in this matchup. Furthermore, they had 5 attempts on the power play and were able to notch 2 goals. The Flames had an average offensive outing in this win. In the outing, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 33 shots they attempted.

Calgary Flames opponents have totaled 68 power play tries (5th in pro hockey) and have racked up 14 goals in those attempts. The Flames have had 575 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .906. Calgary has taken 556 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 8.8%. When playing at even strength, the Flames let the opposition score 40 goals while having 33 themselves. Calgary has 74 power play chances and they have added 16 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 21.62%. For the season, they have recorded 19 points and their points percentage is .500. When it comes to their goal scoring prowess, the Calgary Flames have notched 49 goals (18th in hockey) this season and have surrendered 54.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Jacob Markstrom. Markstrom has participated in 287 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. He has earned a record of 118-124-33 and he has gotten the start in 271 games. Opponents have tallied 761 goals against Markstrom in his professional career and his goals against average per contest is 2.81. Markstrom has had 8,508 shot attempts against him and has recorded 7,747 total saves. He has a save percentage of .911 during his 16,266 mins between the pipes. Over the course of his pro career, Markstrom is sitting with 140 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .517.

Their last time out, Ottawa faced off against the Canadiens in a game where the Senators took home the victory by a score of 5-4. They had 4 attempts on the power play in this contest and tallied 2 out of those opportunities. The Senators earned 5 goals of the 39 shots on goal they tried. Their PDO was 96 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 38.9%. Ottawa went home with a 46.6% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Ottawa had and it tells us that they played really well in this game. Their Fenwick rate came in at 45.1% by way of having a Fenwick of 41 and the Canadiens having a 50 Fenwick at even strength.

So far this season, the Ottawa Senators have accounted for 51 goals, 13 points, as well as a points percentage of .310. They have allowed 84 goals to be scored by way of 67 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Senators have racked up 41 goals at even strength and 10 goals (23rd in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have a total of 77 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 12.99%. Ottawa has taken 685 shots (2nd in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 7.45%, while allowing their opponents 658 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 75.36% on the other teams 69 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 87.2%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Matt Murray protecting the net. Opponents are averaging 2.73 goals per game and he has surrendered 556 goals altogether. Murray's quality start rate comes in at 51.2% and he has earned 106 quality starting assignments in his career. He has been a starter 207 games and has played 12,202 minutes. Murray is the owner of a career record of 121-62-20 and has participated in 215 games. He has accounted for 5,757 stops out of the 6,313 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .912.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+140)

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