Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 11/14/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Sunday, November 14, 2021

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-161) Senators (+125)

Jacob Markstrom and the Calgary Flames are headed to Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday where they'll meet the Ottawa Senators. The Senators open this game at +125 while the Flames are priced at -161. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Flames had a rough game after their 2-1 defeat to the Maple Leafs in the last game they played. The Flames offense left a lot to be desired in the loss. In the outing, they earned a goal on 1 out of the 31 shots they attempted. Moreover, they had 1 chance on the power play but didn't get a goal. Calgary accrued 2 mins in the box for this matchup. The Corsi for the Flames was 53 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 60 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 46.9%. Their Fenwick was 40 and the Fenwick against was 45, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 47.1%. They had a tally of 24 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 24 attempts to win the face-off. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 45.9% and they had a PDO of 97.2 for this matchup.

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The Flames have had 405 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .921. When at even strength, the Flames have allowed the opponent to score 25 goals while scoring 34 of their own. Calgary Flames opponents have 44 power play tries (11th in professional hockey) and have come away with 7 goals in those attempts. For the season, they have accumulated 18 points and their points % is .643. Calgary has attempted 488 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.0%. When talking about their scoring capabilities, the Calgary Flames have accumulated 44 goals (5th in the National Hockey League) for the season and have surrendered 32. Calgary comes into the game with 43 power play opportunities and they have tallied 10 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 23.26%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Jacob Markstrom. The opposition has scored 851 goals against Markstrom in his pro hockey career and his goals against average is 2.75. Markstrom has taken the ice for 326 games during his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .911 in his 18,581 minutes guarding the cage. He has compiled a mark of 137-140-37 and he started in 310 games. Over the course of his pro career, Markstrom has tallied 162 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .523. Markstrom has seen 9,526 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 8,675 total saves.

The last time they were on the ice, Ottawa faced the Kings in an outing where the Senators ended up losing by a final score of 2-0. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing but didn't score a goal. The Senators had 0 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they were seeking. Their PDO at even strength was 97 and their percentage of oZS was 48.1%. Ottawa wound up with a 54.3% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Ottawa had and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their Fenwick rate was 54.8% with a Fenwick of 40 and the Kings having notched a 33 Fenwick at even strength.

The Senators have accumulated 23 goals at even strength and 7 goals (22nd in the NHL) while on the power play. Ottawa has tried 389 shots (20th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 7.71%, while allowing the other team 449 shots. On the campaign, the Ottawa Senators have accounted for 30 goals, 7 points, in addition to a points percentage of .269. They have a tally of 43 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 16.28%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 70.59% on the other teams 34 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.0%. They have allowed 45 goals to be scored by way of 35 goals at even strength and 10 goals while they were shorthanded.

For the opposition you will find Anton Forsberg protecting the goal. The opposition is averaging 3.29 goals per game and he has conceded 161 goals altogether. Forsberg's rate of quality starts comes out to 43.4% and he has qualified for 23 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has made the start in 53 games and has been on the ice for 2,937 minutes. Forsberg is sitting with a career mark of 16-31-5 and has participated in 60 games. He has recorded 1,471 stops out of 1,632 shots tried, giving him a save % of .901.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Calgary (-161)

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