Calgary Flames vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 4/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Friday, April 16, 2021

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (+122) Canadiens (-142)

Jacob Markstrom and the Calgary Flames (19-21-3) travel to Bell Centre on Friday where they'll take on the Montreal Canadiens (18-13-9). The Flames open this contest at +122 while the Canadiens are coming in at -142. The over/under is set at 5.5.

The Flames were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4-1 win over the Canadiens their last time out. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 52.5% and their PDO rating was 108.3 in this one. They accrued 32 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 20 attempts to control the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 43 and the Fenwick against was 33, giving them a Fenwick rate of 56.6%. The Corsi for the Flames came in at 63 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 56 which means they had a Corsi rate of 52.9%. Calgary garnered 2 minutes in the box for this matchup. Additionally, they had 1 power play chance but weren't able to make the most of that try. The Flames had a impressive offensive performance in this victory. For the matchup, they converted 4 of the 34 shots they put on net.

Calgary Flames opponents have earned 136 power play opportunities (6th in pro hockey) and have a total of 26 goals in those attempts. The Flames have had 1,257 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .900. Calgary has attempted 1,285 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 8.9%. When playing at even strength, the Flames have given up 100 goals while having 86 themselves. Calgary skates onto the rink with 138 power play opportunities and they have notched 28 goals during those advantages, giving them a rate of 20.29%. For the current campaign, the have a total of 41 points and their points percentage is .477. In regard to scoring goals, the Calgary Flames have accumulated 114 goals (21st in the league) on the season and have allowed 126.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Jacob Markstrom. Over the course of his pro career, Markstrom has accrued 148 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .516. His save percentage currently is at .910 during his 17,200 mins played. Markstrom has had 8,924 shots against him and has garnered 8,120 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 804 goals against Markstrom in his professional career and his goals against rate is 2.80. He has earned an overall mark of 125-132-34 and he was named the starter in 287 games. Markstrom has participated in 303 matchups over the course of his NHL career.

In their loss to Calgary, the Canadiens PDO was 92 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 47.5%. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 43.4% by way of having a Fenwick of 33 and the Flames finishing with a 43 Fenwick at even strength. The Canadiens earned 1 goal out of the 27 shots on goal they took. Montreal earned a 47.1% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Montreal played and we'd say it was a below average outing in all.

Montreal has put up 1,311 shots (8th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.31%, while allowing the opposition 1,132 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 76.92% on the other teams 130 power play tries, and their save percentage is currently 90.2%. They have earned 109 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 20.18%. The Canadiens are sitting with 100 goals at even strength and 22 goals (22nd in pro hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 111 goals to be scored by way of 81 goals at even strength and 30 goals while they had less men on the ice. For the season, the Montreal Canadiens have accumulated 122 goals, 45 points, in addition to a points percentage of .563.

Across the ice you are going to see Jake Allen protecting the net. He has recorded 7,454 saves out of the 8,169 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .912. Allen has amassed a career record of 154-101-30 and has played in 306 contests. He has started in 288 games and has been on the ice for 17,127 mins. Allen's quality start rate is 54.5% and he has qualified for 157 quality starts in his professional career. The opposition is averaging 2.50 goals per contest and he has allowed 715 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Calgary (+122)

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