Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 4/2/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Friday, April 2, 2021

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (+110) Oilers (-133)

Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (22-14-1) host the Calgary Flames (16-18-3) at Rogers Place on Friday. The Oilers open this game at -133 while the Flames are coming in at +110. The over/under opens at 6.5.

The Flames were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 5-1 defeat to the Jets in their previous game. The Flames had a below average offensive outing in this defeat. For the matchup, they converted 1 of the 30 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 4 power play opportunities and were able to notch 1 goal. Calgary garnered 8 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Flames came in at 36 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 33 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 52.2%. Their Fenwick was 32 and the Fenwick against finished at 27, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 54.2%. They tallied 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 17 attempts to win the face-off. Their offensive zone starts sat at 54.5% and they had a PDO of 78.3 for this one.

The Flames have had 1,102 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .899. At even strength, the Flames have surrendered 88 goals while having 69 on offense. Calgary Flames opponents have totaled 120 power play opportunities (4th in pro hockey) and have scored 23 goals in those attempts. For the current campaign, they sit with 35 points and their points percentage sits at .473. Calgary has attempted 1,102 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 8.6%. Concerning their goal scoring prowess, the Calgary Flames have racked up 95 goals (19th in pro hockey) this year and have surrendered 111. Calgary has 127 power play chances and they have notched 26 goals during those chances, garnering them a rate of 20.47%.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jacob Markstrom. In his career, Markstrom has 145 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .514. His save percentage is .910 in his 16,902 mins on the ice. Markstrom has had 8,799 shots against him and has amassed 8,006 total saves. The opposition has been able to score 793 goals against Markstrom in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.82. He has compiled an overall record of 122-130-34 and was named the starter in 282 games. Markstrom has participated in 298 games over the course of his professional hockey career.

In their last contest, Edmonton squared up with the Canadiens in an outing where the Oilers ended up losing by a score of 4-0. They had 3 power play attempts in this contest but weren't able to notch a goal. The Oilers netted 0 goals out of the 17 shots on goal they took. They had a PDO of 86 and their percentage of oZS was 48.3%. Edmonton wound up with a 34.7% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Edmonton had and it tells us that they didn't have their best game. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 35.2% by way of having a Fenwick of 19 and the Canadiens finishing with a 35 Fenwick at even strength.

The Oilers have accumulated 92 goals at even strength and 30 goals (5th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. Edmonton has attempted 1,124 shots (5th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 10.85%, while allowing the other team 1,148 shots. For the year, the Edmonton Oilers have earned 122 goals, 45 points, and a points percentage of .608. They have earned 116 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 25.86%. They have a penalty kill percentage of 77.57% on their opponents 107 power play chances, and their save percentage comes in at 90.7%. They have granted a total of 107 goals to be scored by way of 83 goals at even strength and 24 goals while they had less men on the ice.

Across the ice you are likely to see Mike Smith defending the net. Smith has compiled a lifetime record of 274-251-75 and has been in net for 628 contests. Smith's percentage of quality starts sits at 53.3% and he has accumulated 313 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has gathered 16,686 stops out of the 18,302 shots taken against him, giving him a rate of .912. The opposition is averaging 2.70 goals/game and he has allowed 1,616 goals overall. He has been a starter 587 contests and has racked up 35,853 mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Calgary (+110)

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