Calgary Flames vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 10/21/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Calgary Flames vs Detroit Red Wings

Date: Thursday, October 21, 2021

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-123) Red Wings (+111)

Alex Nedeljkovic and the Detroit Red Wings host the Calgary Flames at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday. The Flames open this matchup at -123 while the Red Wings are coming in at +111. The over/under opens at 6.

The Flames will look to clean up some issues after taking a 3-2 loss to the Ducks in their previous outing. The Corsi for the Flames came in at 61 and the Corsi against was 44 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 58.1%. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 52.9% and their PDO rating was 97.6 in this game. Calgary earned 11 mins in the box in this matchup. The Flames didn't have a great showing offensively in this loss. Their Fenwick came in at 47 and the Fenwick against finished at 39, giving them a Fenwick rate of 54.7%. They compiled 24 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 20 opportunities to control the puck. In addition, they had 3 power play attempts but didn't get a goal. For the matchup, they earned a goal on 2 of the 43 shots they looked to score on.

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Calgary Flames opponents have 6 power play opportunities (29th in professional hockey) and have notched 3 goals in those chances. The Flames have had 60 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .867. Calgary has taken 90 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 4.4%. When playing at even strength, the Flames have surrendered 5 goals while earning 3 themselves. Calgary has accounted for 7 power play opportunities and they have scored 1 goal out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 14.29%. For the season, they have recorded 1 point and their points percentage is .250. When discussing their scoring capabilities, the Calgary Flames have accumulated 4 goals (30th in the National Hockey League) this year and have allowed 8.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Jacob Markstrom. Markstrom has been involved in 317 contests over the course of his hockey career. He has an overall record of 132-138-35 and he has gotten the start in 301 games. Opponents have been able to score 838 goals against Markstrom in his professional career and his goals against average is 2.79. Markstrom has had 9,276 shots against him and has amassed 8,438 total saves. He has a save percentage of .910 during his 18,040 minutes on the ice. For his professional hockey career, Markstrom has compiled 156 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .518.

In their last game, Detroit went up against the Blue Jackets in a matchup where the Red Wings got the victory by a final score of 4-1. Detroit earned a 57.6% Corsi rating. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Detroit played and we'd say they played well overall. Their Fenwick percentage was 60.0% by earning a Fenwick of 48 and the Blue Jackets ending the game with a 32 Fenwick. They had a PDO at even strength of 110 and their oZS percentage was 62.1%. The Red Wings had 4 goals of the 45 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play attempts in this outing but weren't able to score a goal.

Detroit has attempted 92 shots (19th in hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 14.13%, while allowing the opposition 112 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 71.43% on the other teams 14 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 92.0%. They have earned 11 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 18.18%. The Red Wings have earned 11 goals at even strength and 2 goals (16th in pro hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 9 goals to be scored by of a combination of 5 goals at even strength and 4 goals while they were shorthanded. Over the course of the season, the Detroit Red Wings have earned a total of 13 goals, 5 points, as well as a points percentage of .833.

On the other side of the ice you are going to see Alex Nedeljkovic between the pipes. He has recorded 772 stops out of the 836 shots taken against him, giving him a percentage of .923. Nedeljkovic is sitting with a lifetime record of 17-7-5 and has been in net for 30 games. He got the starting nod in 28 games and his ice time sits at 1,761 minutes. Nedeljkovic's quality start rate is 60.7% and he has accumulated 17 quality starting assignments in his career. His opposition is averaging 2.18 goals/game and he has yielded 64 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Calgary (-123)

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