Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, 4/11/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Sabres (+170) Flyers (-233)

Linus Ullmark and the Buffalo Sabres (9-25-6) go to Wells Fargo Center on Sunday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Flyers (18-15-6). The Sabres open this matchup at +170 while the Flyers are coming in at -233. The total is set at 6.

The Sabres had a rough game after their 4-3 loss against the Capitals in their previous outing. The Sabres had a middle of the road offensive performance in the defeat. In the outing, they converted 3 of the 33 shots they launched. Additionally, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to score a goal. Buffalo tallied 6 minutes in the box for this matchup. The Corsi for the Sabres came in at 54 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 52 which had their Corsi percentage coming in at 50.9%. Their Fenwick was 40 and the Fenwick against was 40, giving them a Fenwick rate of 50.0%. They had a tally of 27 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 21 opportunities to win the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 52.2% and their PDO rating was 95.9 in this game.

The Sabres have had 1,293 shots taken against them and have earned a save percentage of .892. While at even strength, the Sabres have conceded 116 goals while earning 68 of their own. Buffalo Sabres opponents have tallied 106 power play opportunities (27th in hockey) and have scored 23 goals in those chances. For the season, they have scored 24 points and their points % is .300. Buffalo has tried 1,109 shots and holds a shot percentage of 8.1%. In relation to scoring goals, the Buffalo Sabres have earned 90 goals (31st in the NHL) on the season and have conceded 139. Buffalo comes into tonight with 99 power play opportunities and they have scored 22 goals out of those chances, earning them a percentage of 22.22%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Linus Ullmark. During his career on the ice, Ullmark has accrued 61 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .555. His save percentage currently sits at .912 during his 6,611 mins between the pipes. Ullmark has seen 3,481 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 3,175 total saves. Opponents have tallied 306 goals versus Ullmark in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.78. He has amassed a record of 49-47-13 and he was named the starter in 110 games. Ullmark has taken the ice for 115 games throughout his professional hockey career.

In their last game, Philadelphia faced the Islanders in a matchup where the Flyers were on the wrong end of the score by a final of 3-2. Philadelphia earned a 60.0% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Philadelphia had and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. Their Fenwick percentage was 54.0% by earning a Fenwick of 27 and the Islanders ending the game with a 23 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 99 and their percentage of oZS was 64.9%. The Flyers scored 2 goals out of the 27 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 2 power play attempts in this matchup but didn't score a goal.

The Flyers have racked up 91 goals at even strength and 24 goals (18th in the NHL) while on the power play. Philadelphia has attempted 1,162 shots (23rd in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 9.90%, while allowing the other team 1,119 shots. For the year, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned a total of 115 goals, 42 points, in addition to a points percentage of .538. They have earned 127 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 18.90%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 73.50% on their oppositions 117 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 87.8%. They have allowed 137 goals to be scored by way of 106 goals at even strength and 31 goals while they were shorthanded.

On the other side of the ice you will find Carter Hart in net. The opposition is averaging 2.89 goals/game and he has surrendered 260 goals altogether. Hart's rate of quality starts sits at 50.5% and he has earned 47 quality starts in his professional career. He has started in 93 games and has played for a total of 5,405 mins. Hart has compiled a career record of 48-36-9 and has participated in 99 games. He has gathered 2,475 stops out of 2,735 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .905.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo (+170)

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