Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 4/20/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Bruins (-260) Sabres (+220)

Jeremy Swayman and the Boston Bruins (25-12-6) go to KeyBank Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Buffalo Sabres (12-26-7). The Sabres open this game at +220 while the Bruins are coming in at -260. The over/under opens at 5.5.

The Bruins came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 6-3 win against the Capitals in their last contest. The Bruins had a impressive offensive performance in the win. In the game, they tallied a score on 6 of the 28 shots they put on goal. Additionally, they had 3 power play tries but didn't net one. Boston accounted for 21 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Corsi for the Bruins was 31 and the Corsi against was 36 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 46.3%. Their Fenwick was 26 and the Fenwick Against sat at 28, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 48.1%. They totaled 21 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 19 opportunities to take control of the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 52.2% and they had a PDO at even strength of 118.5 for this one.

Boston Bruins opponents have earned 147 power play tries (1st in the NHL) and have earned 21 goals in those attempts. The Bruins have had 1,186 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .909. Boston has tried 1,389 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 8.7%. At even strength, the Bruins have conceded 87 goals while getting 92 on offense. Boston has accumulated 132 power play chances and they have scored 29 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 21.97%. For the current season, they have recorded 56 points and their points percentage comes in at .651. When talking about their goal scoring prowess, the Boston Bruins have racked up 121 goals (18th in the league) this season and have conceded 108.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jeremy Swayman. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Swayman has earned 4 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .800. His save percentage sits at .938 for his 304 mins played. Swayman has had 146 shot attempts against him and has gathered 137 total saves. The opposition has scored 9 goals versus Swayman in his career and his goals against average per contest is 1.78. He has a record of 4-1-0 and he started in 5 games. Swayman has participated in 5 matchups during his NHL career.

When they took the ice last, Buffalo went up against the Penguins in a matchup where the Sabres got the victory by a score of 4-2. Their PDO at even strength was 107 and their oZS percentage was 42.1%. They had 4 power play opportunities in this matchup and earned 1 out of those opportunities. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 39.5% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Penguins ending the game with a 46 Fenwick. The Sabres notched 4 goals out of the 29 shots on goal they attempted. Buffalo wound up with a 42.7% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Buffalo played and they put on a good performance in this one.

Buffalo has attempted 1,252 shots (26th in professional hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 8.63%, while allowing their opponents 1,476 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 78.26% on their oppositions 115 chances on the power play, and their save percentage is 89.8%. They have recorded 112 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 21.43%. The Sabres have earned 84 goals at even strength and 24 goals (20th in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 151 goals to be scored by of a combination of 126 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded. For the season, the Buffalo Sabres have earned a total of 108 goals, 31 points, in addition to a points percentage of .344.

Across the ice you will find Dustin Tokarski patrolling the crease. He has accrued 1,055 saves out of the 1,163 shots tried, giving him a save % of .907. Tokarski has a lifetime mark of 12-17-7 and has played in 43 games. He has been a starter 34 games and has been on the ice for 2,225 minutes. Tokarski's percentage of quality starts comes out to 47.1% and he has accumulated 16 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. The opposition is averaging 2.91 goals per game and he has yielded 108 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Boston (-260)

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