Arizona Coyotes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 10/28/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Coyotes vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Thursday, October 28, 2021

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Coyotes (+210) Lightning (-265)

Amalie Arena is the venue where Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (2-3-1) will play the Arizona Coyotes (0-5-1) on Thursday. The Coyotes open this contest at +210 while the Lightning are priced at -265. The total is set at 5.5.

The Coyotes will look for better times on the ice after their 5-3 defeat to the Panthers their last time on the ice. The Corsi for the Coyotes came in at 33 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 59 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 35.9%. The offensive zone starts for them sat at 34.3% and their PDO was 107.6 in this game. Arizona compiled 9 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Coyotes had a middle of the road offensive outing in the defeat. Their Fenwick came in at 24 and the Fenwick Against sat at 44, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 35.3%. They tallied 20 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 27 attempts to win the puck. Furthermore, they had 1 chance on the power play but weren't able to convert it into a goal. In the matchup, they scored on 3 of the 21 shots they tried.

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Arizona Coyotes opponents have tallied 14 power play tries (29th in the NHL) and have earned 9 goals in those attempts. The Coyotes have had 188 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .846. Arizona has attempted 160 shots and has a shooting percentage of 6.9%. When playing at even strength, the Coyotes have allowed the opponent to score 20 goals while earning 9 as an offensive unit. Arizona has compiled 16 power play chances and they have scored 2 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 12.50%. For the current season, they have recorded 1 point and their points % is .083. Regarding their scoring capabilities, the Arizona Coyotes have racked up 11 goals (30th in the league) on the season and have conceded 29.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Karel Vejmelka. Opponents have tallied 13 goals against Vejmelka in his pro career and his goals against rate is 3.15. Vejmelka has been in net for 5 games during his NHL career. His save percentage is .899 in his 248 minutes guarding the cage. He has a win-loss record of 0-3-1 and he was named the starter in 3 games. During his career on the ice, Vejmelka has accrued 1 quality start and his quality starts rate is .333. Vejmelka has seen 129 shot attempts taken against him and has gathered 116 saves.

When they were on the ice last, Tampa Bay played the Penguins in an outing where the Lightning took home the victory by a final score of 5-1. They had a PDO at even strength of 117 and their percentage of oZS was 81.5%. They had 2 power play chances in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 50.8% by way of having a Fenwick of 33 and the Penguins finishing with a 32 Fenwick. The Lightning converted 5 goals of the 31 shots on goal they tried. Tampa Bay went home with a 50.0% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Tampa Bay had and they showed out in this one.

For the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned a total of 16 goals, 5 points, in addition to a points percentage of .417. They have allowed 25 goals to be scored by of a combination of 22 goals at even strength and 3 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Lightning have racked up 13 goals at even strength and 3 goals (24th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have a total of 20 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 15.00%. Tampa Bay has taken 199 shots (5th in professional hockey) and has a shot percentage of 8.04%, while allowing the opposition 178 shots. They have a penalty kill percentage of 85.00% on the other teams 20 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 86.0%.

Across the ice you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy protecting the goal. Vasilevskiy is sitting with a career record of 193-85-20 and has been in net for 308 games. Vasilevskiy's quality start percentage sits at 55.7% and he has 166 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has recorded 8,596 stops out of the 9,349 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .919. The opposition is averaging 2.51 goals per game and he has allowed 753 goals altogether. He has made the start in 298 games and has played 17,996 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-265)

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