Arizona Coyotes vs St. Louis Blues Prediction, 2/4/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Arizona Coyotes vs St. Louis Blues
Date: Thursday, February 4, 2021
Location: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO
TV: Fox Sports Midwest
Odds/Point Spread: Coyotes (+145) Blues (-175)
Darcy Kuemper and the Arizona Coyotes (3-5-1) head to Enterprise Center on Thursday where they'll take on the St. Louis Blues (7-2-1). The odds on this matchup have the Coyotes priced at +145 and the Blues are at -175. The total is set at 5.5.
The Coyotes were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 4 - 3 defeat to the Blues in their previous contest. The Coyotes had a middle of the road offensive outing in this loss. In the game, they finished 3 out of the 33 shots they tried. In addition, they had 3 power play attempts and were able to notch 1 goal out of those tries. Arizona racked up a total of 10 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Coyotes sat at 41 and the Corsi against was 44 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 48.2%. Their Fenwick was 31 and the Fenwick against at even strength sat at 29, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 51.7%. They won 21 face-off wins and were beaten on 27 of the face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 56.1% and they had a PDO at even strength of 90.7 in this one. With regard to the opposition's stats, the St. Louis Blues tallied a total of 32 shots. They ended the game with 6 minutes in the box and they notched 5 power play attempts.
Arizona Coyotes opponents have totaled 34 power play opportunities (17th in pro hockey) and have a total of 6 goals in those attempts. The Coyotes have had 256 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .902. Arizona has tried 258 shots and is the owner of a shot percentage of 8.9%. While at even strength, the Coyotes have allowed 18 goals while earning 15 themselves. Arizona comes into the game with 35 power play chances and they have tallied 7 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 20.00%. For the current campaign, they have 7 points and their points % is .389. In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Arizona Coyotes have earned 23 goals (24th in the league) for the year and have allowed 25.
The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Darcy Kuemper. During his career on the ice, Kuemper has accrued 116 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .563. He has a save percentage of .917 for his 12,529 minutes played. Kuemper has had 6,241 shots taken against him and has recorded 5,726 saves. Opponents have been able to score 515 goals versus Kuemper in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.47. He has a win-loss record of 98-77-30 and got the start in 206 games. Kuemper has been in goal for 223 games throughout his hockey career.
In their win over Arizona, St. Louis wound up with a 51.8% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 44 while they surrendered a Corsi of 41. Their Fenwick rate came in at 48.3% by earning a Fenwick of 29 and the Coyotes having earned a 31 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that St. Louis had and it was a good performance overall. They had a PDO at even strength of 109.3 and their oZS percentage was 44.3%. The Blues scored 4 goals of the 32 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 5 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to score a goal. Regarding the opposition, the Coyotes had 3 power play attempts and came through by scoring 1 goal. St. Louis allowed 33 shots on goal and the Coyotes earned 10 minutes in the box.
St. Louis has taken 280 shots (17th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 12.50%, while allowing their opponents 316 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 70.45% on their opponents 44 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 12.5%. They have a total of 32 power play opportunities and they have earned a power play percentage of 12.50%. The Blues are sitting with 31 goals at even strength and 4 goals (24th in hockey) while on the power play. They have permitted 31 goals to be scored by of a combination of 18 goals at even strength and 13 goals while they were shorthanded. During this campaign, the St. Louis Blues have notched a total of 35 goals, 15 points, in addition to a points percentage of .750.
Across the ice you are likely to see Jordan Binnington defending the goal. He has gathered 2,276 stops out of the 2,482 shots tried, which gives him a save % of .917. Binnington has accumulated a career mark of 60-19-9 and has participated in 91 games. He has been a starter 88 games and has played for a total of 5,307 minutes. Binnington's quality start rate sits at 61.4% and he has 54 quality starts in his professional career. The opposition is averaging 2.33 goals/game and he has surrendered 206 goals altogether.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Arizona (+145)
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Additional Resources:
St. Louis Blues - Twitter
Arizona Coyotes - Twitter