Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 3/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Friday, March 5, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TVAS2

Odds/Point Spread: Ducks (+214) Avalanche (-240)

John Gibson and the Anaheim Ducks (6-12-5) travel to Ball Arena on Friday where they'll take on the Colorado Avalanche (12-7-1). The Ducks open this matchup at +214 while the Avalanche are priced at -240. The total opens at 5.5.

The Ducks will need a bounce back game after taking a 3-2 loss against the Blues in their previous contest. The Ducks didn't have a great showing offensively in the loss. In the game, they converted 2 out of the 29 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 3 chances with extra men on the ice but weren't able to net one. Anaheim recorded 6 minutes in the box in this matchup. The Corsi for the Ducks came in at 49 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 38 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 56.3%. Their Fenwick came in at 38 and the Fenwick against finished at 26, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 59.4%. They had a tally of 26 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 22 attempts to gain puck control. When starting in the offensive zone they came in at 54.1% and their PDO was 108.0 in this one.

In relation to scoring goals, the Anaheim Ducks have earned 47 goals (28th in the National Hockey League) on the campaign and have given up 67. For the year, the have a total of 17 points and their points percentage comes in at .370. Anaheim comes into the game with 55 power play opportunities and they have notched 6 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 10.91%. While playing at even strength, the Ducks have given up 55 goals while earning 41 of their own. Anaheim has attempted 629 shots and has a shot percentage of 7.5%. The Ducks have had 662 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .899. Anaheim Ducks opponents have 63 power play opportunities (24th in hockey) and have earned 12 goals in those chances.

The player protecting the goal in this game is John Gibson. The opposition has been able to score 741 goals against Gibson in his NHL career and his goals against rate is 2.54. Gibson has played in 306 matchups over the course of his pro hockey career. His save percentage is at .917 during his 17,485 mins in the crease. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 144-113-37 and he was named the starter in 298 games. For his career, Gibson has 167 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .560. Gibson has had 8,970 shots against him and has recorded 8,229 saves.

When they were on the ice last, Colorado faced off against the Sharks in a matchup where the Avalanche got the victory by a tally of 4-0. Colorado earned a 58.5% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Colorado played and it was a good performance overall. Their Fenwick percentage was 56.3% with a Fenwick of 40 and the Sharks ending the game with a 31 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 112 and their oZS percentage was 56.6%. The Avalanche had 4 goals of the 38 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play attempts in this game and recorded 1 out of those chances.

Colorado has taken 652 shots (15th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 9.36%, while allowing the opposition 521 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 88.89% on the other teams 63 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 90.8%. They have a tally of 79 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 24.05%. The Avalanche have tallied 42 goals at even strength and 19 goals (5th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have allowed 48 goals to be scored by of a combination of 41 goals at even strength and 7 goals while they had less men on the ice. During this campaign, the Colorado Avalanche have notched a total of 61 goals, 25 points, as well as a points percentage of .625.

For the opposition you will find Philipp Grubauer protecting the goal. He has accrued 4,777 stops out of the 5,192 shots tried, giving him a save % of .920. Grubauer is the owner of a career record of 90-58-20 and has played in 191 games. He was named a starter in 165 games and has played 10,366 minutes. Grubauer's quality start rate sits at 58.8% and he has 97 quality starts in his career. The opposition is averaging 2.40 goals per contest and he has surrendered 415 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Anaheim (+214)

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