Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, 3/16/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Anaheim Ducks vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Ducks (+238) Avalanche (-269)

Ball Arena is the site where Philipp Grubauer and the Colorado Avalanche (15-8-2) will take on the Anaheim Ducks (8-15-6) on Tuesday. The Ducks open this contest at +238 while the Avalanche are priced at -269. The total has been set at 5.5.

The Ducks will look for better times on the ice after their 3-1 loss against the Sharks in their last contest. The Ducks had an offensive game that was below their expectations in this loss. In the game, they netted 1 of the 27 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. Anaheim earned 6 mins in the box in this matchup. The Corsi for the Ducks came in at 45 and the Corsi against was 46 which had their Corsi rate coming in at 49.5%. Their Fenwick was 33 and the Fenwick against finished at 35, giving them a Fenwick rate of 48.5%. They totaled 20 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 27 opportunities to win the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were at 61.1% and their PDO rating was 92.8 in this one.

In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Anaheim Ducks have accumulated 62 goals (29th in the league) on the year and have given up 93. For the year, they have scored 22 points and their points percentage sits at .379. Anaheim comes into tonight with 68 power play opportunities and they have added 8 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 11.76%. When playing at even strength, the Ducks have allowed the opponent to score 74 goals while getting 54 as an offensive unit. Anaheim has taken 804 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 7.7%. The Ducks have had 852 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .891. Anaheim Ducks opponents have earned 83 power play tries (18th in professional hockey) and have come away with 19 goals in those chances.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be John Gibson. Gibson has taken the ice for 310 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. He has amassed an overall record of 145-115-38 and he started in 302 games. The opposition has racked up 759 goals against Gibson in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.57. Gibson has had 9,091 shots taken against him and he has 8,332 saves. His save percentage is at .917 during his 17,720 minutes played. From the beginning of his pro career to now, Gibson has 169 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .560.

When they were on the ice last, Colorado went up against the Kings in a game where the Avalanche got the victory by a final score of 4-1. Colorado wound up with a 52.6% Corsi rate. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Colorado had and we'd say they played well overall. Their Fenwick percentage was 54.9% with a Fenwick of 39 and the Kings earning a 32 Fenwick at even strength. They had a PDO at even strength of 108 and they earned an oZS percentage of 46.2%. The Avalanche recorded 4 goals out of the 41 shots on goal they took. They had 1 power play chance in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal.

On the season, the Colorado Avalanche have notched a total of 74 goals, 32 points, in addition to a points percentage of .640. They have permitted 59 goals to be scored by of a combination of 49 goals at even strength and 10 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Avalanche have accumulated 53 goals at even strength and 21 goals (9th in the league) while on the power play. They have a tally of 96 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 21.88%. Colorado has attempted 846 shots (9th in the NHL) and has a shot percentage of 8.75%, while allowing the opposition 622 shots. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 86.49% on the other teams 74 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage is currently 90.5%.

On the other side of the ice you are expected to see Philipp Grubauer protecting the goal. Grubauer is the owner of a lifetime record of 94-59-20 and has played in 196 games. Grubauer's rate of quality starts is 59.4% and he has qualified for 101 quality starts in his pro career. He has gathered 4,872 saves out of the 5,294 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .920. His opponents are averaging 2.37 goals per game and he has relinquished 422 goals overall. He has made the start in 170 games and his ice time sits at 10,671 minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Anaheim (+238)

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