Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 9/12/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars

Date: Saturday, September 12, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Golden Knights (-162) Stars (+135)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Rogers Place is the venue where Anton Khudobin and the Dallas Stars will take on the Vegas Golden Knights on Saturday in Game 4 of their series. The Stars lead 2-1. The Golden Knights open this matchup at -162 while the Stars are priced at +135. The total opens at 5.5. The Golden Knights are covering 52.9% of the time, having gone 36-32 SU. The Stars are covering 52.2% of the time, going 35-32 straight up.

The Golden Knights were on the losing side of the ice with a 3 - 2 defeat against the Stars in Game 3. The Golden Knights didn't have a great showing offensively in the defeat. While out there on the ice, they scored on 2 of the 40 shots they put on net. Furthermore, they had 4 power play chances and notched 1 goal out of those chances. Vegas racked up 2 penalty mins while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Golden Knights sat at 54 and the Corsi against was 41 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 56.8%. Their Fenwick sat at 37 while the Fenwick against was 26, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 58.7%. They took 24 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 21 of the face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 36.4% and they had a PDO of 90.4 for this one. Concerning opponent stats, the Dallas Stars racked up 23 shots. They ended the game with 8 penalty mins and they had 1 power play chance.

Looking after the net for Vegas is Robin Lehner from Ostrava, Czechoslovakia. He is 28 years old and has been on the ice a total of 2,055 mins defending the goal this season. Lehner is conceding 2.89 goals per contest which places him at 20th in the Western Conference and 41st among goalies in the NHL. For the year, he's allowed 99 goals. He has a save % of .920 which places him at 8th in the Western Conference. During the season thus far, they have converted a total of 224 goals which has them ranked at 2nd in the conference and 9th in the league. Their goal differential is +15, which is good for 10th in the league. The Golden Knights have earned a total of 86 pts, which has them ranked at 8th in the league and 3rd in the conference. In terms of shots at the opposition, they have earned a total of 2,450 which has them ranked at 1st in the Western Conference and 1st in the league. As a group, Vegas has a total of 1,810 hits which has them averaging 25.5 per contest. They have earned a total of 781 blocks for the year.

In Game 3 Dallas earned a 43.2% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 41 while they allowed a Corsi of 54. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 41.3% by earning a Fenwick of 26 and the Golden Knights ending the game with a 37 Fenwick. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Dallas played and we'd say they played an average game. They had a PDO at even strength of 109.6 and their percentage of oZS was 63.6%. The Stars netted 3 goals of the 23 shots on goal they tried. They had 1 power play opportunity in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. As for the opposition, the Golden Knights had 4 power play chances and ended up scoring 1 goal. Dallas gave way to 40 shots on goal and the Golden Knights ended up with a total of 2 minutes in the box.

In goal for Dallas is Anton Khudobin who is having an ok year by allowing 2.22 goals per game and that has him ranked 3rd in the Western Conference and 5th among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,677 minutes he's played, he's allowed 62 goals. He holds a save percentage of .930, which puts him at 1st in the Western Conference and 3rd among goalies in the NHL. In the matter of goal differential, they rank 8th in the Western Conference and 17th in the NHL with +4. They have earned a total of 178 goals for the year which is good for 14th in the Western Conference. Dallas has a save % as a team of .920 which has them sitting 2nd in the NHL, which means scoring chances may be limited. They have a team shooting percentage of 8.4% putting them at 14th in the Western Conference.

Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas (+135)

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