Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions, NHL Picks 2/25/2020

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2020

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: SunS/RSNO

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+169) Lightning (-188)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (40-17-5, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (32-23-8, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, February 25, 2020. The Lightning open this game at -188 while the Maple Leafs are priced at +169. The total opens at 6.5. The Maple Leafs cover 50.0% of the time, having gone 31-31 SU. Tampa Bay is covering 63.3% of the time, going 38-22 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 32 victories and 23 defeats, which puts them at 3rd in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have converted a total of 219 goals which is good for 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the league. Their goal differential is +13, which puts them at 11th in the league. The Maple Leafs currently have a total of 72 pts, which is good for 14th in the league and 9th in the Eastern Conference. When talking about shots at the opposition, they currently have a total of 2,090 which is good for 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the league. As a group, Toronto has racked up a total of 1,019 hits which has them averaging 16.2 per contest. They currently have a total of 696 blocks for the season. Looking after the goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has racked up 2,702 mins defending the goal for the season. Andersen is giving up an average of 2.98 goals against average which puts him at 22nd among Eastern Conference goalies and 45th among goaltenders in the NHL. For the season, he's given up 134 goals. He has a save % of .906 which puts him at 23rd among Eastern Conference goalies.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will look for better times on the ice after their 6 - 3 loss to the Carolina Hurricanes in their last game. The Maple Leafs were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in this defeat. In this matchup, they finished 3 out of the 26 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 4 power play attempts but didn't net one. Toronto racked up 15 penalty minutes while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 45 and the Corsi against was 48 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 48.4%. Their Fenwick sat at 33 while the Fenwick against sat at 41, which means they earned a rate of 44.6%. They earned 22 face-off wins and were beaten on 24 tries to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 37.8% and they had a PDO of 99.2 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Carolina Hurricanes tallied a total of 47 shots. They had 15 minutes in the box and they notched 4 power play attempts.

The Lightning will be the team across the ice and for the campaign they have 40 wins and 17 losses. In discussing goal differential, they sit 2nd in the East and 2nd in the NHL with +48. They currently have a total of 219 goals for the year which ranks them 1st in the conference. Tampa Bay has a save percentage as a team of .911 which has them ranked 8th in the NHL, which means they are a tough team to score against. They have a shooting percentage of 11.3% which is good for 1st in the Eastern Conference. In goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy who is having an average year by giving up 2.58 goals per game and that places him 11th among East goalies and 17th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 2,766 minutes he's been on the ice this season, he's allowed 119 goals. His save % is .916, which ranks him 8th among East goalies and 18th in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning faced off against the Arizona Coyotes in an outing where the Lightning took the defeat by a final score of 7 - 3. For this outing, Tampa Bay wound up with a 47.0% Corsi rating. They ended up with that by earning a Corsi of 47 and the team opposite of them having a Corsi of 53. Their Fenwick rate came in at 48.1% with a Fenwick of 39 and the Coyotes having a 42 Fenwick. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Tampa Bay had and it shows us they played like an average team. They had a PDO of 98.6 and their oZS percentage was 46.4%. The Lightning notched 3 goals of the 30 shots on goal they attempted. They had 1 power play chance in this outing but didn't score a goal. As for the opposition, the Coyotes had 5 power play attempts and went on to score 2 goals. Tampa Bay gave up 41 shots on goal and the Coyotes earned 2 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-188)

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