Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions, Hockey Picks 2/18/2020

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Tuesday, February 18, 2020

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ATTP/NBCS/RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+119) Penguins (-131)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

PPG Paints Arena is the venue where Tristan Jarry and the Pittsburgh Penguins (36-15-6, 2nd in the Metropolitan Division) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (31-21-8, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) on Tuesday. The Maple Leafs open this contest at +119 while the Penguins are coming in at -131. The over/under opens at 6.5. The Maple Leafs are covering 50.9% of the time, having gone 30-29 SU. Pittsburgh is covering 61.1% of the time, going 33-21 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 31 victories and 21 losses, ranking them 3rd in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have scored a total of 210 goals which puts them at 1st in the East and 1st in the NHL. Their goal differential is +15, ranking them 9th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have compiled a total of 70 points, which puts them at 11th in the NHL and 8th in the conference. Regarding shots at the opposition, they have compiled a total of 1,998 which puts them at 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the NHL. As a group, Toronto currently has a total of 962 hits which means they have an average of 16 per contest. They have compiled a total of 664 blocks for the year. The man in the crease for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has played 2,522 minutes in goal for the campaign. Andersen is giving up 2.93 goals per contest which has him placed 21st among Eastern Conference goalies and 41st in the NHL among goaltenders. Over the course of this year, he has allowed 123 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .908 which has him placed 19th among Eastern Conference goalies.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will look for better times on the ice after their 5 - 2 loss to the Buffalo Sabres in their previous contest. The Maple Leafs could have played much better offensively in this loss. In this game, they converted 2 out of the 22 shots they put on goal. Additionally, they had 1 power play attempt but weren't able to score. Toronto had a total of 6 penalty mins for this matchup. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 39 and the Corsi against was 59 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 39.8%. Their Fenwick sat at 29 while the Fenwick against was 47, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 38.2%. They won 19 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 25 tries to control the puck. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 50.0% and they had a PDO of 96.6 for this matchup. With regard to the opposition's stats, the Buffalo Sabres racked up 36 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 2 penalty minutes and they earned 3 power play chances.

The Penguins are the team looking to add points to their total and for the campaign they sit with 36 wins and 15 losses. When talking about goal differential, they rank 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the league with +36. They currently have a total of 188 goals for the season which has them sitting at 6th in the Eastern Conference. Pittsburgh has a save percentage as a team of .912 which currently has them ranked 7th in the league, meaning they are difficult to score against. They have a team shooting percentage of 10.3% which puts them at 7th in the East. In net for Pittsburgh is Tristan Jarry who is having an ok season by giving up 2.14 goals per game and that has him 2nd among Eastern Conference goalies and 2nd in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 1,628 minutes he has played this season, he's given up 58 goals. He's earned a save % of .930, which puts him at 3rd among Eastern Conference goalies and 3rd in the NHL among goaltenders.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins faced the Detroit Red Wings in a matchup where the Penguins earned a win by a final of 5 - 1. For this outing, Pittsburgh earned a 57.3% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 51 and their opponent having a Corsi of 38. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 56.6% by notching a Fenwick of 43 and the Red Wings having a 33 Fenwick. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Pittsburgh played and they showed up in this game. Their PDO was 108.5 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 56.0%. The Penguins scored 5 goals out of the 35 shots on goal they took. They had 2 power play chances in this outing and netted 1 out of those attempts. Concerning their opponent, the Red Wings had 1 power play opportunity but didn't put the puck in goal. Pittsburgh conceded 28 shots on goal and the Red Wings had 4 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (+119)

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