Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Predictions, Free NHL Picks 2/15/2020

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, February 15, 2020

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: CBC

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-205) Senators (+184)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Marcus Hogberg and the Ottawa Senators (19-27-11, 7th in the Atlantic Division) play the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-20-8, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, February 15, 2020. The Maple Leafs open this game at -205 while the Senators are priced at +184. The O/U opens at 6.5. The Maple Leafs are covering 50.9% of the time, having gone 29-28 SU. Ottawa is covering 33.3% of the time, going 19-38 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 30 victories and 20 losses, which is good for 3rd in the Atlantic Division. During the year thus far, they have converted a total of 204 goals which has them sitting at 2nd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the NHL. Their goal differential is +16, which is good for 9th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs currently have a total of 68 points, which has them sitting at 12th in the NHL and 8th in the East. In discussing shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 1,945 which has them sitting at 2nd in the conference and 4th in the NHL. As a group, Toronto has compiled a total of 923 hits which has them averaging 15.9 per contest. They currently have a total of 636 blocks for the year. In net for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has played a total of 2,462 minutes minding the net this season. Andersen is surrendering an average of 2.88 goals per contest which has him placed 21st among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 38th in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he has allowed 118 goals. His save percentage is .909 which has him placed 17th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 3 - 2 loss against the Dallas Stars their last time out. The Maple Leafs could have played much better offensively in this loss. In their game, they scored on 2 out of the 31 shots they looked to score on. Moreover, they had 2 power play chances and scored 1 goal out of those chances. Toronto racked up a total of 13 penalty minutes for this outing. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 67 and the Corsi against was 30 telling us they have a Corsi percentage of 69.1%. Their Fenwick sat at 49 while the Fenwick against was 26, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 65.3%. They earned 21 face-off wins and were beaten on 16 tries to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 100.0% and they had a PDO of 91.2 in this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the Dallas Stars earned a total of 19 shots. They had 9 penalty minutes and they earned 4 power play attempts.

The Senators will be looking to get a victory in this matchup and for the campaign they have 19 victories and 27 defeats. When discussing goal differential, they are ranked 15th in the conference and 28th in the NHL with -38. They have earned a total of 150 goals for this season which is 15th in the East. Ottawa has a team save % of .902 which currently has them ranked 17th in the NHL, which tells us there should be some opportunities to score. They have a shooting percentage of 8.8% putting them at 12th in the East. In net for Ottawa is Marcus Hogberg who is having a marginal campaign by giving up 2.87 goals per contest and that places him 20th among East goaltenders and 34th among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,004 minutes he has been on the ice this season, he's given up 48 goals. He has a save % of .914, which has him sitting 12th among East goaltenders and 24th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Ottawa Senators faced the Arizona Coyotes in a matchup where the Senators earned a victory by a tally of 3 - 2. For this matchup, Ottawa earned a 42.5% Corsi rating. They got to that percentage by earning a Corsi of 51 and the other team having a Corsi of 69. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 50.6% by way of having a Fenwick of 41 and the Coyotes ending the game with a 40 Fenwick. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Ottawa played and you can say they had a mediocre outing. They had a PDO at even strength of 107.9 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 25.9%. The Senators notched 3 goals of the 31 shots on goal they tried. They had 3 power play opportunities in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. Regarding their opponent, the Coyotes had 2 power play attempts and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. Ottawa conceded 34 shots on goal and the Coyotes had a total of 6 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+184)

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