Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Predictions, NHL Expert Picks 2/27/2020

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers

Date: Thursday, February 27, 2020

Location: BB&T Center in Sunrise, FL

TV: FSFL/TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-105) Panthers (-105)

Total/Over-Under: 7

BB&T Center is the site where Sergei Bobrovsky and the Florida Panthers (33-24-6, 4th in the Atlantic Division) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (33-23-8, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) on Thursday. The odds on this matchup have the Maple Leafs priced at -105 and the Panthers are at -105. The total has been set at 7. The Maple Leafs are covering 50.8% of the time, having gone 32-31 SU. The Panthers are covering 50.0% of the time, going 30-30 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 33 wins and 23 defeats, ranking them 3rd in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have racked up a total of 223 goals which ranks 1st in the East and 1st in the NHL. Their goal differential is +14, ranking them 11th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have a total of 74 pts, which ranks 12th in the NHL and 8th in the conference. In discussing shots at the opposing goalie, they have a total of 2,113 which ranks 3rd in the East and 4th in the NHL. As a team, Toronto has a total of 1,037 hits which means they have an average of 16.2 per contest. They have a total of 704 blocks for the year. The man in goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has been on the ice a total of 2,762 mins minding the goal this season. Andersen is conceding an average of 2.98 goals per contest which puts him at 22nd among East goalies and 45th in the NHL among goalies. Over the course of this year, he's allowed 137 goals. His save % is .906 which puts him at 23rd among East goalies.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 4 - 3 victory over the Tampa Bay Lightning their last time out. The Maple Leafs had a solid offensive performance in the win. In their game, they converted 4 of the 23 shots they put on net. They also had 4 power play opportunities and were able to score 2 goals out of those tries. Toronto racked up a total of 6 penalty mins while out there on the ice. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 30 and the Corsi against was 45 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 40.0%. Their Fenwick was 24 while the Fenwick against sat at 37, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 39.3%. They won 12 face-off wins at even strength and lost 17 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 25.0% and they had a PDO of 99.4 in this one. Regarding their opponent, the Tampa Bay Lightning racked up 29 shots. They had 8 penalty mins and they notched 3 power play opportunities.

The Panthers will be on the other side of the ice and for the season they have 33 wins and 24 defeats. Regarding goal differential, they are sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference and 15th in the league with +6. They currently have a total of 216 goals for this season which has them at 4th in the conference. Florida has a save percentage as a team of .898 which has them ranked 25th in the league, which means there could be plenty of chances to score if they are aggressive. They are shooting 10.5% which is good for 5th in the East. In goal for Florida is Sergei Bobrovsky who is having a rough year by surrendering 3.24 goals per contest and that places him 30th among East goaltenders and 60th in the NHL among goalies. In the 2,683 mins he's played this year, he has given up 145 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .900, which places him at 27th among East goaltenders and 54th in the NHL among goalies.

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The Florida Panthers squared up with the Arizona Coyotes in a game where the Panthers ended up with the victory by a score of 2 - 1. For this matchup, Florida wound up with a 46.1% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 53 while their opponent earned a Corsi of 62. Their Fenwick rate was 43.8% by earning a Fenwick of 39 and the Coyotes earning a 50 Fenwick. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Florida played and it could be said that this team has had better games. Their PDO at even strength was 104.3 and they earned an oZS percentage of 45.0%. The Panthers notched 2 goals of the 26 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play opportunities in this outing and were able to convert 1 out of those chances. As for their opponent, the Coyotes had 1 power play attempt but weren't able to take advantage of it. Florida gave up 38 shots on goal and the Coyotes ended up with 4 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-105)

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