Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Predictions, NHL Picks 2/16/2020

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Sunday, February 16, 2020

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: RSN

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-127) Sabres (+115)

Total/Over-Under: 6

KeyBank Center is the site where Carter Hutton and the Buffalo Sabres (26-24-8, 6th in the Atlantic Division) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-20-8, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) on Sunday. The odds on this matchup have the Maple Leafs coming in at -127 and the Sabres are at +115. The over/under has been set at 6. The Maple Leafs are covering 50.9% of the time, having gone 29-28 SU. The Sabres are covering 43.9% of the time, going 25-32 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 30 wins and 20 defeats, which is good for 3rd in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have scored a total of 204 goals which has them at 2nd in the conference and 2nd in the NHL. Their goal differential is +16, which is good for 9th in the NHL. The Maple Leafs have a total of 68 points, which has them at 13th in the NHL and 9th in the Eastern Conference. With regard to shots on goal, they have a total of 1,945 which has them at 2nd in the conference and 4th in the NHL. As a group, Toronto has a total of 923 hits which has them averaging 15.9 per game. They have a total of 636 blocks for this season. Looking after the goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has been on the ice a total of 2,462 minutes protecting the goal for the season. Andersen is surrendering an average of 2.88 goals per game which places him at 21st in the Eastern Conference and 39th among goaltenders in the NHL. For the year, he has given up 118 goals. His save % is .909 which places him at 18th in the Eastern Conference.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the losing side of the ice with a 3 - 2 loss against the Dallas Stars in their previous game. The Maple Leafs offense left a lot to be desired in this loss. In this game, they finished 2 out of the 31 shots they put on net. In addition, they had 2 power play chances and were able to score 1 goal out of those chances. Toronto ended up with a total of 13 penalty mins in this matchup. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs sat at 67 and the Corsi against was 30 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 69.1%. Their Fenwick was 49 and the Fenwick against was 26, telling us they have a rate of 65.3%. They won 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 16 of the face-offs. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 100.0% and they had a PDO of 91.2 in this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Dallas Stars earned 19 shots. They ended the game with 9 penalty mins and they earned a total of 4 power play attempts.

The Sabres will be on the other side of the ice and for the campaign they have 26 victories and 24 defeats. When talking about goal differential, they are currently ranked 13th in the Eastern Conference and 24th in the league with -14. They have a total of 165 goals for the year which is 11th in the Eastern Conference. Buffalo has a team save % of .900 which currently has them sitting 20th in the league, which means scoring chances could present themselves. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.8% putting them at 10th in the Eastern Conference. In net for Buffalo is Carter Hutton who is having a tough campaign by allowing 3.17 goals against average and that has him 26th among Eastern Conference goalies and 55th among goalies in the NHL. In the 1,365 minutes he's been on the ice this year, he has given up 72 goals. His save percentage is .896, which has him sitting 29th among Eastern Conference goalies and 56th among goalies in the NHL.

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The Buffalo Sabres squared up with the Columbus Blue Jackets in a matchup where the Sabres earned a victory by a final score of 4 - 3. In this game, Buffalo earned a 44.8% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 39 while the opposition had a Corsi of 48. Their Fenwick percentage was 44.4% by earning a Fenwick of 28 and the Blue Jackets finishing with a 35 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Buffalo played and they showed up in this game. Their PDO at even strength was 102.5 and their oZS percentage was 41.0%. The Sabres scored 4 goals of the 27 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 1 power play opportunity in this outing and were able to convert 1 on that chance. Concerning the opposition, the Blue Jackets had 1 power play chance but weren't able to take advantage of it. Buffalo gave way to 31 shots on goal and the Blue Jackets earned a total of 4 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-127)

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