Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks Predictions, NHL Picks 3/6/2020

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Anaheim Ducks

Date: Friday, March 6, 2020

Location: Honda Center in Anaheim, CA

TV: PRIT/TSN4

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-135) Ducks (+122)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Honda Center is the site where John Gibson and the Anaheim Ducks (27-32-8, 7th in the Pacific Division) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-24-8, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) on Friday. The odds on this contest have the Maple Leafs priced at -135 and the Ducks are at +122. The total has been set at 6. The Maple Leafs cover 51.5% of the time, having gone 34-32 SU. Anaheim covers 35.5% of the time, going 22-40 straight up.

The Toronto Maple Leafs head into this game holding a record of 35 victories and 24 defeats, which is good for 3rd in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have earned a total of 234 goals which ranks them 1st in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the league. Their goal differential is +15, which is good for 10th in the league. The Maple Leafs currently have a total of 78 pts, which ranks them 12th in the league and 7th in the Eastern Conference. When looking at shots toward the net, they currently have a total of 2,199 which ranks them 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the league. As a group, Toronto currently has a total of 1,079 hits which means they are averaging 16.1 per contest. They currently have a total of 747 blocks for this year. The man in the crease for Toronto is Frederik Andersen from Barrie, Ontario. He is 30 years old and has totaled 2,882 minutes protecting the net this season. Andersen is conceding 2.96 goals per contest which ranks him 22nd among East goaltenders and 45th in the NHL among goalies. During this year, he's surrendered 142 goals. He's earned a save % of .906 which ranks him 22nd among East goaltenders.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs will look to clean up some issues after taking a 5 - 2 defeat to the San Jose Sharks in their previous game. The Maple Leafs could have played much better offensively in the defeat. For this outing, they netted 2 out of the 27 shots they put on goal. Furthermore, they had 3 power play chances but weren't able to net one. Toronto racked up a total of 4 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs was 40 and the Corsi against was 53 which gave them a Corsi percentage of 43.0%. Their Fenwick was 26 while the Fenwick against sat at 43, telling us they have a rate of 37.7%. They earned 25 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 42.3% and they had a PDO of 98.4 in this game. With regard to the opposition's stats, the San Jose Sharks racked up a total of 38 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 6 penalty minutes and they tallied 2 power play attempts.

The Ducks are the team looking to add points to their total and for the campaign they have 27 victories and 32 losses. Regarding goal differential, they are currently sitting 15th in the conference and 29th in the league with -44. They have compiled a total of 169 goals for the year which is good for 14th in the conference. Anaheim has a save % as a team of .901 which has them ranked 21st in the league, which tells us scoring chances could be there if they are opportunistic. They have a shooting percentage of 8.4% which puts them at 14th in the conference. In net for Anaheim is John Gibson who is having a tough season by giving up 3.05 goals per contest and that has him ranked 27th among West goaltenders and 51st among goalies in the NHL. In the 2,931 minutes he has played this season, he's given up 149 goals. He's earned a save percentage of .902, which has him ranked 27th among West goaltenders and 51st among goalies in the NHL.

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The Anaheim Ducks faced off against the Colorado Avalanche in a matchup where the Ducks took home the win by a tally of 4 - 3. In this matchup, Anaheim had a 42.5% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 48 while their opponent had a Corsi of 65. Their Fenwick rate came in at 43.4% by earning a Fenwick of 36 and the Avalanche ending the game with a 47 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Anaheim played and it was a good performance overall. They had a PDO of 110.8 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 45.6%. The Ducks scored 4 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they tried. They had 2 power play opportunities in this game but weren't able to score a goal. Concerning the opposition, the Avalanche had 3 power play chances and were able to tally 2 goals. Anaheim gave up 35 shots on goal and the Avalanche had a total of 13 penalty mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-135)

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