Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 9/17/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Thursday, September 17, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-161) Islanders (+130)

Total/Over-Under: 5.5

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning go to Rogers Place on Thursday where they'll meet the New York Islanders in Game 6 of their series. Tampa leads the series 3-2. The Lightning open this game at -161 while the Islanders are priced at +130. The total is set at 5.5. The Lightning cover 60.3% of the time, having gone 41-27 SU. The Islanders cover 49.2% of the time, going 32-33 straight up.

The Lightning missed a lot of opportunities their 2 - 1 double overtime loss in Game 5. The Lightning could have played much better offensively in the defeat. For the game, they converted 1 of the 37 shots they looked to score on. Furthermore, they had 3 power play chances but didn't get a goal. Tampa Bay had a total of 6 penalty minutes in their game. The Corsi for the Lightning was 71 and the Corsi against was 59 which tells us they had a Corsi percentage of 54.6%. Their Fenwick sat at 44 and the Fenwick against sat at 31, which gave them a Fenwick percentage of 58.7%. They earned 28 face-off wins and were beaten on 35 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them were rated at 40.0% and they had a PDO of 98.8 in this game. In discussing stats from the opponent, the New York Islanders tallied a total of 24 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 6 minutes in the box and they tallied 3 power play attempts.

In net for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy from London, Ontario. He is 25 years old and has been on the ice a total of 3,122 minutes minding the goal for the season. Vasilevskiy is giving up an average of 2.56 goals per contest which has him ranking 9th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 14th in the NHL. For the season, he's surrendered 133 goals. His save percentage is .917 which has him ranking 7th among Eastern Conference goaltenders. During the season thus far, they have racked up a total of 243 goals which has them at 1st in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the league. Their goal differential is +49, which is good for 2nd in the league. The Lightning currently have a total of 92 pts, which has them at 3rd in the league and 2nd in the Eastern Conference. In the matter of shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 2,176 which has them at 9th in the East and 18th in the league. As a team, Tampa Bay currently has a total of 1,562 hits which means they are averaging 22.3 per contest. They currently have a total of 707 blocks for the season.

In Game 5 New York had a 45.4% Corsi rating. They got there by having a Corsi of 59 and they conceded a Corsi of 71. Their Fenwick rate was 41.3% by earning a Fenwick of 31 and the Lightning earning a 44 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that New York played and you could say that they have had better days on the ice. They had a PDO of 101.2 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 60.0%. The Islanders converted 2 goals of the 24 shots on goal they pursued. They had 3 power play attempts in this outing and netted 1 out of those tries. As for their opponent, the Lightning had 3 power play opportunities but didn't put the puck in goal. New York gave up 37 shots on goal and the Lightning racked up 6 minutes in the box.

In net for New York is Semyon Varlamov who is having an average season by surrendering 2.62 GAA and that places him 11th in the East and 18th in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 2,517 mins he's played, he's surrendered 110 goals. His save percentage is .914, which ranks him 12th in the East and 26th in the NHL among goaltenders. When talking about goal differential, they sit 10th in the East and 19th in the NHL with -1. They currently have a total of 189 goals for the year which is good for 13th in the East. New York has a team save percentage of .911 which has them sitting 8th in the NHL, meaning they are a tough team to score against. They have a team shooting percentage of 9.4% putting them at 11th in the conference.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-161)

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