Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 9/13/2020 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Sunday, September 13, 2020

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-143) Islanders (+120)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Semyon Varlamov and the New York Islanders host the Tampa Bay Lightning at Rogers Place on Sunday in Game 4 of their series. The Islanders open this game at +120 while the Lightning are coming in at -143. The O/U is set at 6.5. The Lightning are covering 60.3% of the time, having gone 41-27 SU. The Islanders are covering 49.2% of the time, going 32-33 straight up.

The Lightning will need a bounce back game after taking a 5 - 3 loss to the Islanders in Game 3. The Lightning were neither impressive or disappointing offensively in the defeat. In the outing, they netted 3 of the 37 shots they tried. They also had 1 power play attempt and were able to net 1 goal on that try. Tampa Bay earned 41 penalty minutes for this game. The Corsi for the Lightning sat at 74 and the Corsi against was 53 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 58.3%. Their Fenwick sat at 50 and the Fenwick against was 40, which means they had a Fenwick percentage of 55.6%. They took 34 face-off wins and were beaten on 27 of all total face-offs. Their starts in the offensive zone were rated at 51.7% and they had a PDO of 90.6 in this game. With regard to the opposition's stats, the New York Islanders racked up a total of 35 shots. Their total at the end of the game was 29 minutes in the box and they notched 2 power play opportunities.

The man in goal for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy from London, Ontario. He is 25 years old and has played a total of 3,122 minutes in goal for the year. Vasilevskiy is giving up an average of 2.56 goals per game which ranks him 9th among Eastern Conference goalies and 14th in the NHL among goalies. So far this season, he's surrendered 133 goals. His save percentage is .917 which ranks him 7th among Eastern Conference goalies. So far this season, they have earned a total of 243 goals which puts them at 1st in the conference and 1st in the league. Their goal differential is +49, which puts them at 2nd in the league. The Lightning currently have a total of 92 pts, which puts them at 3rd in the league and 2nd in the Eastern Conference. When talking about shots on goal, they currently have a total of 2,176 which puts them at 9th in the East and 18th in the league. As a group, Tampa Bay currently has a total of 1,562 hits which means they have an average of 22.3 per contest. They currently have a total of 707 blocks for the year.

In Game 3 New York earned a 41.7% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 53 while they allowed a Corsi of 74. Their Fenwick rate came in at 44.4% by earning a Fenwick of 40 and the Lightning ending the game with a 50 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game New York had and it was an excellent showing for this outing. They had a PDO at even strength of 109.4 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 48.3%. The Islanders converted 5 goals of the 35 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 power play opportunities in this game but didn't score a goal. On the other side of the ice, the Lightning had 1 power play attempt and took advantage of the situation by scoring 1 goal. New York allowed 37 shots on goal and the Lightning ended up with a total of 41 minutes in the box.

In goal for New York is Semyon Varlamov who is having an ok season by giving up 2.62 goals per contest and that places him 11th in the Eastern Conference and 18th in the NHL among goalies. In the 2,517 minutes he has played this season, he has given up 110 goals. He has a save percentage of .914, which has him ranking 12th in the Eastern Conference and 26th in the NHL among goalies. When looking at goal differential, they rank 10th in the conference and 19th in the league with -1. They currently have a total of 189 goals for the year which ranks 13th in the Eastern Conference. New York has a save percentage as a team of .911 which has them 8th in the league, meaning chances to score may be scarce. They are shooting 9.4% putting them at 11th in the Eastern Conference.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-143)

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