Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Predictions, NHL Expert Picks 2/17/2020

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Monday, February 17, 2020

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: Alti/SunS

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-110) Avalanche (+100)

Total/Over-Under: 6

Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (38-15-5, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) travel to Pepsi Center on Monday where they'll take on the Colorado Avalanche (33-17-6, 3rd in the Central Division). The Avalanche open this game at +100 while the Lightning are coming in at -110. The over/under opens at 6. The Lightning are covering 64.9% of the time, having gone 37-20 SU. The Avalanche are covering 57.9% of the time, going 33-24 straight up.

The Tampa Bay Lightning head into this game holding a record of 38 wins and 15 defeats, which puts them at 2nd in the Atlantic Division. During the season thus far, they have earned a total of 204 goals which has them sitting at 1st in the East and 1st in the NHL. Their goal differential is +51, which puts them at 2nd in the NHL. The Lightning have earned a total of 81 pts, which has them sitting at 2nd in the NHL and 2nd in the conference. In connection with shots at the opposition, they have earned a total of 1,829 which has them sitting at 8th in the Eastern Conference and 15th in the NHL. As a team, Tampa Bay has obtained a total of 1,277 hits which has them averaging 22 per contest. They have earned a total of 590 blocks for this year. The man between the pipes for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy from London, Ontario. He is 25 years old and has been on the ice a total of 2,588 minutes defending the goal for the year. Vasilevskiy is conceding 2.41 goals per game which ranks him 7th in the Eastern Conference and 11th among goaltenders in the NHL. Over the course of this season, he has given up 104 goals. His save % is .921 which ranks him 5th in the Eastern Conference.

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The Tampa Bay Lightning will head into their next game feeling good after earning a 3 - 1 win over the Edmonton Oilers in their previous contest. The Lightning had a middle of the road offensive output in this win. In their game, they netted 3 of the 37 shots they put on net. In addition, they had 1 power play chance but didn't net one. Tampa Bay ended up with a total of 4 penalty mins in this game. The Corsi for the Lightning was 53 and the Corsi against was 43 which means they had a Corsi percentage of 55.2%. Their Fenwick sat at 43 and the Fenwick against sat at 36, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 54.4%. They earned 32 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 22 tries to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 48.7% and they had a PDO of 102.1 for this game. Concerning opponent stats, the Edmonton Oilers earned a total of 30 shots. They finished with 0 minutes in the box and they notched 2 power play opportunities.

The Avalanche will be looking to get a victory in this matchup and for the season they have 33 wins and 17 defeats. When talking about goal differential, they are currently ranked 1st in the Western Conference and 3rd in the league with +46. They have earned a total of 202 goals for this season which is 1st in the conference. Colorado has a save % as a team of .913 which has them 6th in the league, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a shooting percentage of 11.0% putting them at 1st in the Western Conference. In goal for Colorado is Philipp Grubauer who is having a marginal season by giving up 2.65 goals per contest and that has him ranked 8th in the West and 20th in the NHL among goalies. In the 2,015 mins he's played this year, he has given up 89 goals. His save % is .915, which places him at 11th in the West and 21st in the NHL among goalies.

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The Colorado Avalanche faced off against the Washington Capitals in an outing where the Avalanche ended up taking the loss by a tally of 3 - 2. In this matchup, Colorado wound up with a 47.4% Corsi rating. They wound up with that percentage by having a Corsi of 45 while their opponent had a Corsi of 50. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 46.9% with a Fenwick of 30 and the Capitals finishing with a 34 Fenwick at even strength. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game Colorado played and you can safely assume that they'll look to improve in their next outing. They had a PDO of 99.9 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 56.4%. The Avalanche converted 2 goals out of the 34 shots on goal they tried. They had 4 power play opportunities in this one and were able to convert 1 out of those attempts. On the other side of the ice, the Capitals had 5 power play chances and went on to score 2 goals. Colorado gave up 38 shots on goal and the Capitals racked up 8 penalty minutes.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-110)

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