Senators vs Maple Leafs Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 2/1/2020
Game: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Saturday, February 1, 2020
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
TV: CBC
Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+273) Maple Leafs (-310)
Total/Over-Under: 6.5
Scotiabank Arena is the venue where Frederik Andersen and the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-17-7, 4th in the Atlantic Division) will play the Ottawa Senators (18-23-9, 7th in the Atlantic Division) on Saturday. The Maple Leafs open this matchup at -310 while the Senators are coming in at +273. The O/U is set at 6.5. The Senators are covering 36.0% of the time, having gone 18-32 SU. The Maple Leafs are covering 52.0% of the time, going 26-24 straight up.
The Ottawa Senators step onto the ice holding a record of 18 wins and 23 losses, ranking them 7th in the Atlantic Division. During the year thus far, they have converted a total of 138 goals which has them ranked at 13th in the Eastern Conference and 23rd in the NHL. Their goal differential is -27, ranking them 26th in the NHL. The Senators have earned a total of 45 pts, which has them ranked at 27th in the NHL and 14th in the conference. Regarding shots toward the net, they have earned a total of 1,505 which has them ranked at 12th in the conference and 24th in the NHL. As a unit, Ottawa has compiled a total of 1,301 hits which has them averaging 26 per game. They have earned a total of 653 blocks for this year. Protecting the goal for Ottawa is Marcus Hogberg from Orebro, Sweden. He is 25 years old and has totaled 683 mins in net this year. Hogberg is conceding an average of 2.90 goals against average which places him at 19th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 35th among goaltenders in the NHL. For the season, he has given up 33 goals. He holds a save percentage of .912 which places him at 13th among Eastern Conference goaltenders.
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The Ottawa Senators went home feeling good about their game by earning a 5 - 2 victory against the Buffalo Sabres in their previous contest. The Senators had a impressive offensive outing in the victory. For this game, they scored on 5 out of the 39 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 4 power play attempts and netted 3 goals out of those tries. Ottawa had a total of 8 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Senators was 40 and the Corsi against at even strength was 35 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 53.3%. Their Fenwick sat at 35 while the Fenwick against at even strength was 27, which tells us they had a Fenwick percentage of 56.5%. They earned 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to control the puck. The offensive zone starts for them came in at 50.0% and they had a PDO of 99.3 for this game. Regarding their opponent, the Buffalo Sabres tallied 30 shots. They finished with a total of 8 penalty mins and they earned a total of 4 power play chances.
The Maple Leafs will be the team across the ice and for the season they sit with 27 victories and 17 losses. When it comes to goal differential, they are ranked 7th in the Eastern Conference and 9th in the league with +19. They currently have a total of 185 goals for the season which is good for 1st in the conference. Toronto has a save percentage as a team of .900 which has them sitting 24th in the league, which means there should be some opportunities to score. They have a team shooting percentage of 10.8% ranking them 5th in the East. In goal for Toronto is Frederik Andersen who is having an average campaign by giving up 2.87 goals per game and that has him 17th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 33rd in the NHL. In the 2,386 mins he's played this year, he has given up 114 goals. He's earned a save % of .910, which places him at 14th among Eastern Conference goaltenders and 29th in the NHL.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs squared up with the Dallas Stars in a game where the Maple Leafs got the victory by a final of 5 - 3. In this outing, Toronto earned a 43.5% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 50 and their opponent having a Corsi of 65. Their Fenwick rate was 46.3% by notching a Fenwick of 37 and the Stars having earned a 43 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi statistics are telling of the type of game that Toronto played and we'd say they played well overall. They had a PDO at even strength of 105.9 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 43.2%. The Maple Leafs converted 5 goals of the 34 shots on goal they pursued. They had 2 power play attempts in this game but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. On the other side of the ice, the Stars had 3 power play attempts but were not able to score a goal. Toronto conceded 34 shots on goal and the Stars ended up with a total of 4 minutes in the box.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Ottawa (+273)
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Additional Resources:
Toronto Maple Leafs - Twitter
Ottawa Senators - Twitter