Senators vs Avalanche Predictions, Picks, Betting Tips 2/11/2020

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Colorado Avalanche

Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2020

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: Alti/TSN5/RDS

Odds/Point Spread: Senators (+277) Avalanche (-315)

Total/Over-Under: 6.5

Marcus Hogberg and the Ottawa Senators (18-26-11, 7th in the Atlantic Division) head to Pepsi Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Colorado Avalanche (32-16-6, 2nd in the Central Division). The Avalanche open this contest at -315 while the Senators are coming in at +277. The over/under has been set at 6.5. The Senators are covering 32.7% of the time, having gone 18-37 SU. Colorado covers 59.3% of the time, going 32-22 straight up.

The Ottawa Senators head into this game holding a record of 18 wins and 26 losses, which is good for 7th in the Atlantic Division. So far this year, they have racked up a total of 147 goals which has them ranked at 13th in the East and 24th in the league. Their goal differential is -36, which is good for 27th in the league. The Senators have a total of 47 points, which has them ranked at 29th in the league and 15th in the Eastern Conference. In the matter of shots on goal, they have a total of 1,643 which has them ranked at 13th in the Eastern Conference and 26th in the league. As a unit, Ottawa has collected a total of 1,439 hits which means they have an average of 26.2 per contest. They have a total of 712 blocks for the season. Protecting the goal for Ottawa is Marcus Hogberg from Orebro, Sweden. He is 25 years old and has been on the ice a total of 886 mins protecting the goal for the season. Hogberg is allowing 2.98 goals against average which ranks him 22nd in the East and 47th among goaltenders in the NHL. Over the course of this year, he's surrendered 44 goals. He holds a save percentage of .910 which ranks him 17th in the East.

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The Ottawa Senators were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 5 - 2 defeat to the Winnipeg Jets their last time out. The Senators had a below average offensive outing in the defeat. While out there on the ice, they netted 2 of the 27 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 3 power play chances but didn't get a goal. Ottawa had a total of 18 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Senators sat at 58 and the Corsi against was 48 which means they earned a Corsi percentage of 54.7%. Their Fenwick sat at 45 while the Fenwick against was 40, meaning they had a rate of 52.9%. They took 23 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 19 of all total face-offs. Their offensive zone starts came in at 59.1% and they had a PDO at even strength of 100.9 for this one. In terms of their opponent's stats, the Winnipeg Jets tallied 34 shots. They had 16 minutes in the box and they earned 4 power play opportunities.

The Avalanche will be looking to get a victory in this matchup and for the year they have 32 victories and 16 losses. When discussing goal differential, they currently sit 1st in the conference and 3rd in the NHL with +44. They currently have a total of 197 goals for this year which puts them at 1st in the Western Conference. Colorado has a team save percentage of .911 which currently has them ranked 8th in the NHL, which means chances to score may be limited. They have a team shooting percentage of 11.1% which is good for 1st in the Western Conference. In net for Colorado is Philipp Grubauer who is having an average year by giving up 2.72 GAA and that has him 9th among Western Conference goaltenders and 23rd in the NHL among goalies. In the 1,897 mins he has been on the ice, he has surrendered 86 goals. His save % is .912, which has him ranking 15th among Western Conference goaltenders and 28th in the NHL among goalies.

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The Colorado Avalanche played the Minnesota Wild in an outing where the Avalanche ended up with the victory by a score of 3 - 2. In this game, Colorado went home with a 44.8% Corsi rating. They earned that percentage by having a Corsi of 47 and their opponent having a Corsi of 58. They earned a Fenwick percentage of 45.6% by earning a Fenwick of 31 and the Wild having a 37 Fenwick. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Colorado played and you can say they had a mediocre outing. Their PDO was 103.8 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 56.2%. The Avalanche netted 3 goals of the 33 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 3 power play attempts in this one and netted 1 out of those attempts. As for their opponent, the Wild had 4 power play attempts and went on to score 2 goals. Colorado gave way to 36 shots on goal and the Wild had a total of 11 minutes in the box.

Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Ottawa (+277)

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